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[lastpost] => 2800602 为什么比特币在 2026 年可能暴涨 100 倍（转） 1769581409 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币ETF在经历一周的惨重下跌后，艰难地迎来上涨的一天。（转）
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美国现货比特币 ETF 昨日净流入 680 万美元，结束了连续五天的资金流出，此前这些投资产品累计流出近 17.2 亿美元。
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$ A! S, ?9 n: y1 |7 t根据来自Farside Investors的数据其中，贝莱德的 iShares 比特币信托 ETF (IBIT) 和 Grayscale 比特币迷你信托 ETF (BTC) 涨幅最大，分别获得 1590 万美元和 770 万美元的资金流入。
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- b6 S) |/ b; T# ^相反，Bitwise 的比特币 ETF (BITB) 和 Fidelity 的 Wise Origin 比特币基金 (FBTC) 分别流出 1100 万美元和 570 万美元，而 ARK 21Shares 比特币 ETF (ARKB) 的资产损失了 290 万美元。$ k; W3 e% M: C1 m8 o; C0 ~
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“一个积极的信号”
0 L0 w, Z6 Z& S$ Z. t( h* X# g尽管整体情况喜忧参半，但今天的总体增长结束了连续五天的上升趋势。重大损失比特币 ETF 的资金流出量也十分惊人，仅上周三一天就达到了 7.087 亿美元。/ A! N' Q+ v! |! \
3 n% [& I2 D5 M/ w这一逆转发生在……比特币据报道，该股当日下跌0.4%，报87,815美元左右。CoinGecko 数据.1 j9 Q: R5 m1 f8 W r, V
& q7 x3 f% R) W比特币的价格停滞此前一周（下跌 2.5%）、两周（下跌 5.8%）和一年（下跌 11.9%）均出现下跌，但一些分析师认为 ETF 资金流动的积极变化意义重大。& R3 h4 d+ ]) y2 d, F
, }. f. J+ @4 V& Q* j“考虑到过去两周比特币抛售潮带来的资金外流，这是一个积极的信号，”Trade Nation 高级分析师 David Morrison 表示。3 _$ ^1 j/ [! L7 o/ V8 |
" G# X3 \# P7 @5 Z$ P6 L. l& n5 D* C莫里森告诉解密比特币未能延续 2026 年的良好开局，这令人“相当失望”，但如果未来几天 ETF 资金流入继续增加，情况可能会进一步改善。) n2 c8 a1 O. ^# ]
6 `, A- ~1 ]8 f他表示，尽管悲观者可能会认为周一的资金流入“只不过是一个四舍五入的误差”，但比特币目前在一个“相对较大的支撑区间内交易，该区间从大约 85,000 美元延伸到 90,000 美元”。2 r0 h. o+ H, n
' `. ^. q+ p8 I9 E然而，分析师面临的一个问题是，比特币似乎并未对近期美国股市和其他类似资产的上涨做出反应（至少目前还没有），而且存在诸多问题。全球股市目前均处于历史高位。随着财报季临近。6 s2 S7 n1 z% Y" w" b
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Morrison 认为，鉴于交易员不再将股票市场作为加密货币风险偏好的相关信号，比特币可能需要在持续上涨之前进行盘整。
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3 s, F2 _+ L/ K( }“事实上，与美元的相关性最强，”他补充道。“美元指数目前已接近9月份触及的96.00以下低点，而9月份的低点本身也是美元指数三年半以来的最低点。”+ Q7 y# p: W1 } i. ?( e
. `# r5 e# U9 ]7 R, i' P2 H美元进一步下跌可能会进一步拖累比特币，但也可能为美元和比特币最终反弹提供底部。1 u3 d# I, e& _$ Y- q3 o) h7 O# E
8 P' O' N9 P( m: |4 J“如果真是这样，那么美元的快速走强可能会提振比特币，并帮助其突破1月中旬以来的高点，”莫里森总结道。
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总算有点起色了，不过这波动也太刺激了，得看准再下手啊 |
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