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Bitunix 分析师：BTC 突破后回落或构成假突破，短线关注 90,000–91,000 支撑与 93,200 压力
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比推消息，加密市场迎来普涨行情，BTC 一度突破 93,000 美元但随即收回涨幅，技术面呈现疑似假突破结构。短线结构转为偏震荡回调，市场将聚焦能否在 90,000–91,000 美元区间企稳，同时上方 93,200 美元成为新的压力带。ETF 资金方面，昨日日内录得 BTC 净流入 5,850 万美元、ETH 净流出 990 万美元，显示增量资金集中于比特币，而以太币则延续温和流出态势。
宏观层面上，特朗普再度强化对美联储人事的主导力，预告将于明年初公布新任主席人选。他多次暗示降息派哈塞特为意中人，市场正迅速为潜在的政策路径转向定价。若哈塞特上任，美联储偏低利率、偏宽松的政策框架落地概率将大幅提升，但当前也面临通胀仍高于目标、劳动力市场未全面降温的巨大张力。这将导致 2025–2026 年的政策前景更趋不稳定，美元利率曲线或重新进入跳跃式波动阶段。地缘政治方面，特朗普释放强硬信号，称五角大楼将很快对委内瑞拉等地的贩毒集团采取陆地打击，还点名包括哥伦比亚在内的多个国家。市场担忧美国军事行动扩张可能引发新一轮风险资产的避险波动。
Bitunix 分析师表示，在宏观人事变动、地缘风险与 ETF 资金分化并存的背景下，加密市场的短线走势将更依赖技术面信号的清晰化。BTC 若能在 90,000–91,000 美元区间强势守稳，走势结构才能重新指向 93,200 美元上方的清算区间；反之，则恐展开更深幅度的回调。建议持续将资金流、波动率扩张情况与政策再定价节奏作为核心观察维度，以此判断此次突破是否具备延续性。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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