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[lastpost] => 2776773 以太坊领涨站上了4200美元啦 1762536987 垂钓园
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比特币近期跌破关键技术水平是由一系列宏观经济不利因素造成的。不过，知名市场分析师、Fundstrat Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管汤姆·李表示，这些压力可能很快会逆转，并推动比特币反弹。- u; J J; ^3 z8 a
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近期，主流加密货币跌破了其 200 日移动平均线，这是交易员密切关注的一项技术指标。
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此次下跌恰逢加密货币市场大幅去杠杆化时期，其中包括 10 月 10 日发生的重大事件。! K* I( C) `. I+ v: y) R
[+ u. x7 t" Y3 k李说：“比特币对市场流动性和风险偏好的认知都非常敏感。”讲述 CNBC“过去几周，我认为从ZF停摆到美联储鹰派降息，各种不利因素一直在累积。”; i8 F1 W) A' Y: g% X" y
) f7 z( ~5 Y6 z3 g5 a" R" s5 i李指出，美国ZF停摆以及相关的财政部动态是给加密货币等风险资产带来压力的关键因素。这与其他专家的分析不谋而合，他们近期也持相同观点。尖美元走强对加密货币构成重大宏观不利因素。
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“逆风变成了顺风”
4 ?! ?. F- c# K8 ]0 X尽管最近遭遇抛售，李对未来仍持乐观态度，他认为“当你能够解决这些问题时，逆风就会变成顺风”。: b8 f; }& ~+ O, U
5 m; j5 n6 a0 L" K8 b; A这位分析师缓和了自己的观点，将当前的市场清理与过去的去杠杆化事件进行了比较。“10月10日的去杠杆化是历史上规模最大的，这意味着即使两周过去了，其影响仍在持续，”李说。“信心的恢复还需要一段时间。”' G3 i0 B9 D- ]! a
/ J x/ m/ V& \7 C& @, _" S/ t尽管近期技术面疲软，但李强调，更广泛的金融市场指标显示出积极的前景。他指出，在股市连续六个月上涨之后，历史经验表明11月股市可能持平或上涨，这将为加密货币创造一个有利的环境。
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: I! `0 l. I6 b8 k7 i! [预测市场也支持这种反弹的可能性，零售情绪依然乐观。4 O( H' b6 p9 o! F
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由 Myriad 推出解密母公司 Dastan，用户投入64% 的概率在比特币在跌至 85,000 美元之前，重新回到 115,000 美元。这种信心延伸至以太坊，以及用户分配有 63% 的概率它会先达到 4,500 美元，然后再跌至 2,500 美元。
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据报道，过去24小时内，比特币和以太坊分别上涨了1.3%和2.6%，交易价格分别为103,214美元和3,403美元
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李这老哥还是那么乐观 比特币跌成狗他都能找到上涨理由 |
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