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[lastpost] => 2797241 Bitwise 认为，XRP ETF 的表现“令人惊喜”，但仍有一点需要证明（转） 1768432162 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
1 ]$ y0 z- F! u" h& ]+ H4 J比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。1 d9 ]% x1 {8 V4 F: u% _
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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7 ?/ f! P# I" C/ ^. C7 @! r% M3 S尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。. v' ^+ C( z4 y+ z6 r: N
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
7 ~; a% _ |* o+ x6 r鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。; t! z. K$ h7 h
K$ U1 g" d- s: C I# x- f2 a) g0 \但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
7 y7 _$ E3 r3 \- h6 A8 {% o% D$ Q; _/ d
因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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: E2 _! t5 @3 @! D( |8 N" \0 f/ Y0 y最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
8 e" T- r+ a% T& d3 h, F
8 p L5 v' P( E2 U) A& \8 k这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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0 C- t% F- j* {0 w5 L( L然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。5 R' |3 b w! k( l0 s
( v9 E0 x" b6 `; F估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
3 M4 i: O: c L+ r) u l1 ^几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
! L, u0 N9 a7 ^$ [( m6 ~ [; T0 V" \/ x
. ~. [% `& |' L6 C9 G# M: u# j同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 3 g" l$ Y" E6 F1 V5 U; I% f/ P
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。$ ~% v, J' T( z. n& Y2 t8 h: F( B
) J, C) o% m4 K9 I$ O) R此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 * X4 S8 Q* }1 p0 z& W0 Y
* h# F6 E# c3 l0 j* ~如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。 O: D1 L3 ]" A. _9 b: _5 B6 p m+ t
W( f4 v+ ?4 {6 Z5 R7 F# i8 _0 w6 K结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。) l3 ~! o9 G5 a0 ~
; k, {1 R: I! j+ B8 c) xBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
" T/ Z T/ j; L+ O. f* g2 V# L6 ?# S2 x5 X比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
5 l# }$ e3 {( @1 Z& y0 `1 ?1 o9 d' v
( r' Q& b/ \5 R; w& m. p- `) b但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
9 c1 T7 U" K/ x8 h4 s8 W7 ]6 Q! o0 j4 x& ]( C
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