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[lastpost] => 2796758 比特币：为什么机构而非散户将决定比特币的下一步走势（转） 1768440814 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
9 g9 G- o8 f$ X9 @7 I* a t3 K, |% e: m) X比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
) v, D4 u! C: K2 ?比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。- e7 i. s4 }, X
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
( ^9 B1 N9 a% J& t0 [4 y- \ f% R7 u+ l
鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…& N+ N3 _" q5 B$ G V0 u
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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+ k0 C( v5 a1 ~0 v4 I% b但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。! V& L5 h7 R! Z& ]# u- M
; F. ~1 {) E4 u& y& [7 i因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。8 c# }; w0 s! }+ `
' \9 U( o6 k( Z) |0 _+ m" i3 x最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。; L R6 K" l8 P( `' U/ l
" R4 a4 A( L: N+ l; o. s# v. A$ \估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突8 o( ?! O" M& E5 g
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 # ~$ ]+ f" O/ f% l; p! q' V7 s
8 o$ [% ^ q# z相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。5 ~( l# h; `, z4 a& p" x3 l) x
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
7 X7 u3 F! o2 ]. ~9 w" q, |0 r T2 w- ]' B& s1 w: _1 z( n
如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。! A+ x( J7 v) y0 c, f e
' d1 B7 H# t2 \' Y6 K结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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& y: J$ I) i' m. LBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？$ x# H& F& S: Y! |/ ~8 w
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 - k) o! W- w- K( D" N9 z6 Y' `
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