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[lastpost] => 2797285 比特币：探究比特币价格近期飙升至 9.5 万美元背后的原因（转） 1768443773 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
Bitwise高管：人们正低估比特币 BTC将大幅上涨(转）
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据两位 Bitwise 高管称，在特朗普ZF威胁要改革全球贸易，而经济指标表明各国央行可能向市场注入现金之际，比特币是一个“世代机遇”。* r! ~8 o% @# C. Y9 T" Y
# ~* v1 V+ l8 v% i# qBitwise Asset Management 的阿尔法策略主管 Jeff Park 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中表示：“世界确实处于最大混乱的边缘。”6 L/ m% f* p' f. n
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Park 指出，2 月 12 日众议院共和党预算计划将债务上限提高 4 万亿美元，旨在增加ZF支出，同时还有去全球化趋势加剧，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普! k) A# \* N/ Z
$ K( a2 X3 i9 H% }, h- k最近升级的互惠关税威胁。
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2 @$ ~% q, [3 @9 g5 A" {0 dPark 还指出，市场将出现他所谓的“最大延迟”，指出“黄金跑赢大盘的尾部风险”，共和党高达 4.5 万亿美元的“史无前例的减税”，以及他认为即将实施$ P) L: R( e/ h4 @* s
. [. G! i! v8 d( U的收益率曲线控制 (YCC)——央行将长期利率作为刺激借贷和投资的目标。+ ~* C, ~7 U ~, K$ L' W
5 P! R S7 |; x/ q
美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔对今年进一步降息的可能性泼了冷水——2 月 11 日，他告诉参议院银行委员会，美国经济“保持强劲”，美国“不需要急于调整”利率。
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/ T* [1 x1 |8 Z: ?9 a! _- [3 SBitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中写道：“人们严重低估了比特币今年进入主流的巨大飞跃。从未如此乐观。”9 M: ^5 ^( k- k) @
. p' p) a/ R6 f- I, A. Z& c“BTC IV 百分位数是全年最低的，你看不到这一代机会，所以我们不一样了，”Park 补充道，他指的是比特币的隐含波动率百分位数——过去一年中波动率* `' `( R/ z- \* H0 V( h7 E# e
' K% |8 r2 E% N$ h4 ~; H低于当前水平的天数百分比。
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根据 Deribit 的数据，比特币的波动率指数目前为 50.90，低于年度高点 71.28，IV 百分位数为 12.3。6 `3 M; d2 w% K
8 J" L2 c: a" A* ^据 CoinGecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1.5%，交易价格略高于 96,000 美元。
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今年到目前为止，比特币的交易价格在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但在上个月末特朗普就职典礼期间达到 108,786 美元的峰值。
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追踪加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数的市场情绪在 2 月 17 日为 51 分（总分为 100 分），表明市场处于“中性”状态。市场情绪较上周的“恐惧”水平有所改善，但低于% X# ?* w5 _; [( O& Q6 ~
8 Q! ~% X! j$ E( V7 f1 j
上个月更为积极的市场情绪水平。
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