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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。+ j7 {; K3 J; `; u: l6 h1 Y
& i0 @1 x# G3 K1 J& s1 x5 `由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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; d3 j- s3 y5 k2 m4 F# Z比特币重新分配正在进行& o( O" [. O6 N s, X6 _( m
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。$ `) U. O! u8 B8 U6 D
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。; T! k& T4 G# ]; w
, `2 P( w: L- |! q9 I. p. }通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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; }8 b! j* _) T仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。8 `# C2 ^2 x9 ^% a# Q8 f6 `, n
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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5 W" E7 |- `2 i; c8 i% \6 a% Y4 U# B比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微& c3 ?3 z$ f, V4 Y6 y9 ]4 M* i
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。 y9 _" U# |( E0 D( y
: b+ }5 e+ D. y+ P q# g8 I现货交易商调整' l+ q8 {) H# @" b8 I% Q
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。5 ~! h3 b" \! v, h- O3 T w
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。) R) n/ c' i2 W& y
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