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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者?(转)
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域,截至发稿时,交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元,而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨,预计涨势将持续,并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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. g; m5 ]; m/ b& Q比特币重新分配正在进行
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目前,市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。/ L9 |1 t7 h: N ^
2 X2 J. a8 M7 z4 {$ ]: ?; n0 x4 k目前,这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类:持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而,鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。* _; g G1 I. k: W- P) h3 t
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# W0 N3 x6 Y3 w9 O' u根据 Glassnode 的数据,比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位,这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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% g- X# F' b& `7 L5 V: J' V$ d通过这种重新分配,特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配,表明这些群体的信心正在增强,他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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. `+ _4 K! [. ]1 y& _, W仔细观察比特币的 NUPL(净未实现利润/亏损)可以证实这一看涨趋势。3 U( q7 t- y3 j! e9 h
7 d$ x0 V9 c. D0 Z2 X4 t1 B当时,NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段,或看涨持续阶段,截稿时读数为 0.556,表明整体购买活动活跃。
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
" L& ^' A4 j3 a" f. Y* ~- `CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明,在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。8 S& Z9 h5 L' y# [
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本文撰写时,MPI 读数为负 0.8,表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。0 U" f1 U2 [$ U3 L( z
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5 S' s, s- m# o6 L& b: u! E一旦此阶段结束,这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC,增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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现货交易商调整7 K7 ~# A5 J6 f
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪,因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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# }4 p) L. X4 S) U仅在过去 24 小时内,Exchange Netflow 数据显示,从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC,较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。. p. ~+ N \% V$ }4 U
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去,则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变,与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。( [7 A% |2 f, _0 t
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