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[虚拟币交流]
比特币形成了一个局部底部:比特币能从这里走高吗?(转)
[复制链接]
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比特币[BTC]在以色列和伊朗之间的地缘ZZ紧张局势急剧下降后,表现出了韧性。截至发稿时,比特币的交易价格约为62000美元,显示出夺回63000美元水平的迹象。4 E( s# v! g; l8 Y( g8 W$ @
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最近多头头寸的清算可能已经建立了一个局部底部,表明BTC可能会进一步上涨,这个底部是本月的低点。
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5 ^4 t, c) V' u0 e/ G6 i( s在大幅下跌期间,长期合约通常会因清算而大幅下跌,从而减轻抛售压力。( K* c" N" s. u
; x/ U! Z7 j9 B+ u7 @- K关键流动性水平保持稳定,高于新闻发布时的价格68900美元至69300美元,低于新闻发布时价格56800美元至57400美元。, P: \$ T% }9 w: E j# @
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一个新的流动性集群也出现在66500美元至66800美元的区间,这表明价格可能很快就会瞄准这一区域。/ V4 e( j5 L2 u z* ~ g# E5 f
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尽管比特币的价格在55K美元至75K美元之间波动了200多天,但比特币仍然处于稳固的地位。
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它在周线图上交易高于100周移动平均线(100MA),在宏观层面保持强势。
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* ]' p1 V+ U# o# A( |/ F值得注意的是,BTC现在比最新的比特币减半时间晚了170天,历史模式显示,新的历史高点(ATH)往往在前一个周期的峰值后约1080天形成。0 d9 R0 V" Z; l/ {/ ~
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这表明,如果历史证明是正确的,比特币可能会从目前的水平走高。2 D: [4 b# ~$ W$ v- }
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Coinbase高级指标5 y) S% Z$ v1 x+ {% s: K2 H
CryptoQuant上的Coinbase Premium工具加剧了这一看涨前景,该工具突显了BTC的短期增长。
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当黄金十字架形成时,如之前的价格走势所示,比特币通常会经历短期上涨。这一指标进一步证明,BTC可能会从目前的本地底部上涨。
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美国比特币现货ETF需求0 x: w! o1 ]# ^$ Y) v* S9 ~
美国现货ETF对比特币的需求也在上升。9月初,现货ETF是净卖家,但到本月底,他们已经购买了7000 BTC,这是自2021年7月以来的最高水平。
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( L; C& t6 G; `8 m9 m1 u2024年第一季度,现货ETF每天购买近9000 BTC,将价格推至新高。如果这种购买趋势继续下去,比特币的价格可能会在2024年最后一个季度进一步上涨。
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鲸鱼保持稳定3 |& Z; ?" O' c5 \
此外,大型比特币持有者,或“鲸鱼”,表现出历史上较低的获利回吐水平,表明对未来价格增长的信心。
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鲸鱼一直在不同的地址分发他们的BTC,现在只有1975个地址持有1000到10000个BTC。! \+ |" C4 ?1 ~7 `- `7 w3 O; X
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尽管最近出现了一些抛售,但与之前的周期相比,鲸鱼的利润微乎其微,这进一步支持了比特币价格将从这里上涨的观点,因为它们寻求最大化收益。% x# G% [. ~5 [& G2 U+ ~
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当前离线
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当前离线
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天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3027 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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