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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
* Y2 j, P5 s; n/ N" ~上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。$ z5 q" ?; ?% a7 I
; a3 V9 W Z/ m& `& f" r比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
, ~! J& {+ f3 v* R2 e7 M6 `7 o; ~* _" ^" {
. A [+ Q, l+ I" ~5 D: V4 `在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
- k8 {0 G2 i# m5 l R" k
0 y6 ~3 Y1 l# S5 C+ f7 U: i3 c' u在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
" }4 ?; D* L) d+ D! X3 {3 Q m: P n/ ]) x' g% j) u: I
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
, y7 I: b1 O2 i, F" r7 _) S9 b5 [; s0 o* L
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
, {2 d/ }3 w) b8 E; I) M6 d
+ ]$ `( x* R) T! _8 d& |从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等; l2 _! a3 [& Z
; e- y/ N9 F- M
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加% `* d* e* i" y; b
1 a8 Q* U- F" M( j! _
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交* Z" n# l2 K* T# {% Q
$ n$ z& U' n" k4 I2 u+ r9 `+ C易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
9 s' R. @. ]. Z/ o) k0 E5 B; o1 V5 d5 Z! N( q& }+ H8 |
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币 m9 a$ x, y! t
% s% ^' C: E5 e+ E7 v5 v# `6 Y$ `
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围1 g+ ~( H& x3 B) y
: ?& n2 |5 Z1 O( ]7 Y: r绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
/ m2 D2 o8 k" ` ^' H7 O- a t' U" F0 I l
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
8 v) n. r% p" z' h+ `" C7 d* @; W/ \2 L' v% ~$ v9 V
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
# L( r6 R$ ]' C5 a. G0 x2 O8 P( w1 ^& ?! D' z. }
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
# N G$ Y @' {2 P
3 `, V% c0 b, a比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元& h; k3 Y3 h: n5 c) T7 \
3 \3 P3 y; h8 V7 @- e
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。' ^4 n q. _$ f0 |9 a; f
" j, P* |7 C D; C7 ~* I9 n% Y
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
! m' v- U5 z7 X/ f q
% P! l, M8 u6 S+ i/ G7 |并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和7 ?4 Q c w4 Q& b7 I3 F
4 c9 J+ P8 d( w, T
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。' Q! H$ O+ J/ ]$ X# e9 Z
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