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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就5 `5 ?, m/ M+ y) [
# M" ~0 W6 \& p; R$ P5 }# o3 `突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
$ \0 r, n1 {0 B9 T
8 G5 M1 [8 q4 Z% @; Z9 F8 H# d6 G- Qmatrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴
5 {+ l$ M. [( \% L6 ] H
; s3 p4 C+ a a+ U% S忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
* y! z% p4 v+ r; z/ ~7 d D" {5 S1 ?* }4 k( [* O
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
* r/ m1 Y/ q8 F; O n4 I, }' l, i7 t2 ^3 _$ f) _6 o1 `
期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。( ]/ W) w4 I1 {0 q2 l7 l
ETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道
. g- x7 t. b' K: z. Z7 E- w
) A8 m- i' E4 E/ v) S消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
+ A8 f- G+ z; A) U) T1 v
# }, N1 Q1 K6 I' P3 H$ n0 j! O或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
) O- [# J& C/ h9 k
* f0 F* B, d. }( K4 I另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货
% C! T$ N: h! Z" z
& v2 k* E0 w. D% m1 V* k5 r* WETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
' b2 [! x% F4 g. X+ }! h
; e- Y0 K6 }% @. |期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，: H0 F+ a, h0 C: B
3 ~5 [4 z% b2 [# G X6 f% B, G负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
7 U7 D$ a+ m: g) R/ O5 U/ o! f& y+ b Z. l
: M, l5 k* z) h3 c+ _6 y( } |
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