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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：1 B6 l8 q+ X9 D
至少有以下几个原因：( |" s& k5 v4 Y* h2 F6 L
+ j( n, B: b4 B! t& l( }
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。& v: v4 _3 H6 \2 H& {9 \
& d: y2 l; {/ ?( S在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化8 q& H1 L2 y1 k p
1 n+ x9 `5 G7 G+ `( l3 U机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案4 D0 i0 U# A+ d
- N' y1 M& W4 v9 Y出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
4 ]2 J( z# U3 n$ `% ~% ?1 O9 e. y7 S0 E! k1 U; G+ y
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
$ [* J5 N1 l( {/ O8 e9 x- O
' l6 [( ~. K- j$ X/ ?7 p据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有6 Y' G# i) F1 G& b8 O0 F6 c
0 i6 {! L" `1 g" P& _$ |
达到200亿美金）
5 D2 _+ g; Q9 C. w7 b! }0 d+ k, z6 l/ l, A) P$ Q$ Y k \
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊: b4 x A. H! x' E
1 P/ R" Y: l/ O更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
% K2 P/ Y3 P' f G& M7 C& `4 F5 Y9 O0 Q4 Q# ?) Q& `- j1 D% {; [; L4 V
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。7 O; ]: \ a' }$ }" K! {
9 K/ U8 ]2 ^5 d. T
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
1 H! k' Q Y% ?* M0 j( B, p7 L4 Y% X% ?9 p7 Z
资金的信任和青睐。
' i0 @4 [8 i [# C$ F' ~+ q4 }
3 x. v' B- y9 X8 c& H5 N* ?4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
8 z, E# c. u) D7 ^9 h2 o
$ p# n# U- w, ^2 F5 w- P }金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入& J" l) J+ H- ^. v
7 _' x4 ^ D6 ?- s) |3 h比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。3 r2 _- q q! ?- r
' {! @6 H* X: w: k* G, g |
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