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[lastpost] => 2760156 如果你还在玩 meme 币，转向预测市场吧（转） 1756207709 mattf
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：( U1 o- s3 V' S7 |
至少有以下几个原因：9 C8 x) D# i) D) w
! }# {5 l( R8 }6 F1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。6 U0 Y- D( F2 R7 o+ U
5 \, P/ T- P. i3 Q u1 D在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
5 I' z. s! ?& u6 g+ Y# p0 Y8 x8 u/ J% [: p$ `8 U: L* T) [
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案3 G3 a- i; a; p, @- N
# l9 Z9 ~# N% A/ K( ^# T+ w
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
) G* m5 d; p& L7 \+ p! d8 b s: n* [& E1 S/ m
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数; q- t( W/ b' p. j* ~# f8 O
; i! `5 L1 z/ P- y/ U1 m, o- c% ~
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
3 f9 R ] J' s. J
- j# r0 S6 B$ y9 v达到200亿美金）* k7 i7 |9 j z5 |# v/ H) T
, |/ q2 _1 z! N" Q! h- `
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊0 m" G1 b6 t U ^3 j$ y R
/ Z4 O: @/ `2 }" R
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
: m0 d; {' O" K5 P. y+ `* @" F( H3 b7 s. I1 x$ e9 `
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。0 h! Z* h* N: A1 S' E/ T
, h# B/ a8 K7 u2 O# O
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
: _7 x0 G# L% R& W
; M/ @3 Z9 J, m5 I1 X资金的信任和青睐。
( S( ]7 C0 g$ }9 A* h$ V5 [
6 g) p9 H' C! n5 o2 F4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美( F' \5 h/ r+ Y& r+ y
; E$ j% V7 ^6 W" |金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入# s+ J8 r) v7 ^ y( b; \
5 s: B4 y& K; E+ `( j$ t' C$ |
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。. }: s: z; U; o; C3 X; n/ A
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