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[lastpost] => 2816464 明天将迎来四巫日，市场严阵以待，应对比特币可能出现的波动。（转） 1773939240 jackcool1011
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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5 v: `) w# h* ?7 \监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
! y1 \2 [* f: L7 h
2 D0 T" a% C" K9 [. `1 Y专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 9 w/ B0 n: Q5 C! H% L$ U
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技7 L+ S3 d/ z1 V) ?, d8 K2 x
7 V3 s- S. ]0 ^9 u, _ A' ^股等风险较高的投资。 9 b* f. j% u0 Z B4 s J1 i+ u3 P
# W. n4 N1 V7 m+ v) K: A芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
1 L9 a2 i, K+ V" Y
' f0 ]; a: c- |% i7 J! N+ B; M明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 3 T9 v" O/ A. v0 b
c/ C: G' ?2 S+ Y9 B
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动8 E- ^, a) Z9 V9 C w
5 b( H9 ]4 G4 |
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 * C+ v4 [9 Y1 H% Z$ w' T
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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G/ o4 T2 m/ X, Y$ k W( ?8 d: ?更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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* f4 z' O. C8 Z. w仍有许多交易商可能买入。 + _0 e7 [# `5 f: b1 b
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的6 B; C! @6 S' p
* F( E7 a& H, i: I推动力之一。 & r. `4 S; |! v: @0 A
- ~4 f# P6 H8 \0 i6 u02: V& e% z+ N% r& V. A
6 c( k9 k- m8 C有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 * R' k6 e3 N- E. K! y
( [3 q+ K* U e% o% c需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至9 r0 C+ j! O# O7 x) K( a2 `
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 ' D0 Q' Y" w* T! a) K) w
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