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[lastpost] => 2816407 今年降息最多1次！美股全线暴跌！难道比特币又要跌到6万？（转） 1773949366 叫我十三
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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( W9 N4 }6 J C# ^2 E9 R& t- c$ B监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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- X0 J* E9 G) o2 B3 {专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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& w* l# N3 P- o' a$ P有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技4 r% b2 e% C) B( E
. h+ f: K9 Q0 e* Y. S股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储( P% T' v0 Y! _! W
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 " P& p$ t. x( L* R
: l2 S3 Y* A3 U& F1 r2 Y) ^现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动& t7 u G. H/ ^$ `
) x2 W/ L2 b& k+ f$ L因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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5 Q% N& j2 R* f从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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" @4 ]8 \( C: |' z* f更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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- T. ?4 u0 Q$ F" ?6 S; N仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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6 H' \8 P! Y$ p推动力之一。 + t8 g0 y- R# T9 S0 O
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02
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$ b4 t7 D4 {8 v W( k有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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5 a" ?- j; _( V$ W& D- k& M4 x加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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/ U; p% f2 d( b$ x1 Y的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” . N5 r1 Y! E: B4 T
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至. U4 P2 @ ^- `9 M0 U# n" R
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 7 Z T3 T/ D9 m" h D! V0 |+ L
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