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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
6 X: J& B/ m! s! L' G |. a$ k( _4 j5 p
5. 废话的不对称原则
9 G- ]$ x( a, s) K6 Y反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
6 V5 P R/ }0 d5 _$ q) Y
) Q6 @: V" F! C回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
o9 K' S) {* C2 k8 n9 t) x# I. J/ A" T' {% w
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
0 @& Y! [- x' d1 g( D& Q* H- r+ I/ q/ G1 d9 i5 K
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。( Z6 Q. O; }& N6 z1 w
' I* F! C3 D! }7 A ^
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。$ p# S# J4 H$ \ h
% d9 I) l6 [ s8 u& B
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)! H7 _/ H7 V( i) m
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
% Y" Q8 A7 c! W0 o5 z( q9 y; Q T( ]$ i1 j( C" h; j9 m3 I
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。1 G p' M) R1 \$ Z; N
( F2 G' M( { I# b9 s/ a2 ?* w因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。2 f1 |& d% S; K
: ~& p: u/ } z' C) Y* _
想象一下罕见事件:
* J' E, u8 q V9 M) d- u' J H" D; P2 I3 @
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
3 `3 o$ i& y0 M3 E- z8 E5 W
) `) M3 ^6 C8 [! M! s• 核打击4 x2 I& j3 @5 y. w6 P
2 l `. n! x5 s& b
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!- K3 _0 f. \2 O! p2 e$ e
4 @/ q$ Y& ?. L5 f7.二八定律
4 V- O3 ?9 w1 K$ a' N2 d% B2 q在币圈:
# U0 _2 U) r7 L8 H7 N# P7 f/ N& ^" o) I& g3 [- c/ ]4 `
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。2 O) R/ ^ m: [; P8 i' |; C" g
0 ^7 X% m _) c9 `& L4 j
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
8 S( k1 n2 x4 P8 m) O
! s% N0 F1 J5 A( R- R% d我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。+ H3 l5 Y$ F+ P: W9 t' G3 \: y
) G3 A, a9 q- k) Q6 E8 q( W( G8.网络效应+ L- z3 \3 R7 I9 j; v
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。4 ?( H. L1 i t( p/ s7 w6 V5 b" F
. L9 k1 s# s! O想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?8 d3 Q' q! |9 B) q! n$ F3 t7 v
1 V6 J. D! o z$ y
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。. @, z2 v& N8 `" s
( l2 d. k0 i8 x' q& Z6 O
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。0 j/ Q, p* O3 V0 a& W& Q
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