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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 9 E, O- L5 p' j' [
行情补充、
: s; V4 Q/ b; W0 i \/ U在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 % ]7 A3 W& u/ X
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 $ q& g8 b' T( z" K+ c
关于疑问、一一回复。 . l$ I6 i: [$ m+ T
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 7 p9 o( S: \" z/ S: x$ i$ W
' K# f( n/ F7 |! m. j* M0 \
首先就个人的主观来说、 " N( K% l/ c) x; d% X2 x; F1 p0 x
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
* l+ n* ]$ {% B" X6 W3 q' M极度憧憬市场的未来！ / r, \5 m F3 Z4 Z4 j
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 ( {9 c; c+ @ a# I/ c! q
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 $ `( y. H) L) \# V
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 p. y6 z2 n# x9 \( ^" P6 h
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 % A: J ]5 T4 g+ x& k& A+ ?# r
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
2 g, l5 C2 q) ]9 O7 E5 F1 p* O其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 # r' I$ w3 W3 J+ U7 t& e/ U
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
9 \' j2 F" @# g, {( k为什么会跌、 8 V. P. C _1 o" k" N/ c
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
& x) b. q* F) m P& ^2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 ) s$ V% h* D6 h8 ^+ C) |
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、 8 i, i' n$ @4 S8 y; z- ^, ^- @
综上造成的下跌、 / X' `2 r4 m$ [7 |+ q
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
* ?" s/ Y1 M3 H也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 3 _4 U/ I% K7 K- H! s: S& S
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 9 m1 K, _' q+ _* i
来决定行情是否好转。
/ W+ V" d G6 [/ w至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 : [4 }" d9 P$ E! Z
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 0 x7 |8 `: F7 j# B, b. c
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 + a) l- ^4 J1 D
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 `7 z, S+ }- R- F! B- j+ V) D
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
& @, E/ ~. D6 O. _1 n看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 * N6 a/ C* O4 Y: S' @
日内大饼反弹、
0 v8 n, D+ |2 F6 V& S4 g26150高空 4 o! R. K( t! B$ [" S4 p/ x( Y
26350补仓
; m9 D' _' j( ?/ r26550防守
3 ^4 g$ j" [5 e; D目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 $ H. M' d$ h+ g/ T( Q. v
以太反弹
9 P+ z9 l- e" ]' V1380高空 & j0 `" ^" W0 D7 K) Q
1400补仓 ; P; m! Q' J5 |
1420防守
0 {2 o" b ]( C$ ~目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 2 ]" g$ [( P9 @
附言、 5 q- O: s( a' m: [( c, ]
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
# A0 X+ h, t: i M/ c2 @0 S# A! |是正常现象，
9 ~! t/ Q4 L+ L& l2 K3 {' ?合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 + q3 `' ? o8 S% y
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 : L% l% o8 g( R z
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
D. a+ N/ c, l. y u3 m3 x上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
. X; _ d( ]# s5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
8 \) k- g. `* a* s/ ^3 l6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
! R) T; G. z( Y5 ?+ s6 G相信七月公布时，会较理想。
! f1 h0 f! U$ Q3 ]" _* i但现阶段，要承受的住。
/ j6 }9 s- j2 U* R最后再强调、现货勿割。 , ^- X0 _+ \) Q3 L: y; k- b
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 3 M0 B: i# Q6 }
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
7 A+ R) m+ ^5 W7 q( ]4 a稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
6 B Z8 ^! x. K这个市场，
6 B5 y( D, d" q消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 2 L$ B) d4 O2 B4 T; K. r1 _
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
8 i- }: e4 Y) C9 M) C切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 / s- c! J8 b4 V5 z$ j# D& H$ v
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 6 H5 w2 G6 k) M9 x, a
来源：金色财经 |
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