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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 % M5 s6 s' k& X! X9 U. t9 e- U1 p
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其实原文标题不是这样的/ n8 u: p& x: u, {
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!/ ?7 h2 T! P2 ?' B% C$ @) _
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...2 u& l( K+ C/ S4 a) [! Z
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
' q$ l5 g9 [5 D( {/ L0 z; d, ]+ F: G( u: y8 c4 @! \1 g
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
" o1 t/ D0 Y& f- D) i" H+ V/ y9 }7 q" c# F9 A6 }
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
0 H: C7 h' o% e# c% L: M* g 5 }9 k: L: O- w" w2 C7 g0 G
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 , ^2 X& l# B6 w& k' g
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」. m1 r9 F: i7 s) Z1 i
8 W+ U& |; t. v3 m+ Y2 H
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
3 m( r1 x7 Y: H , v, |% H' L y @! L
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
" @* U9 D$ J( F7 [4 g1 L+ `因此铜板较容易出现正面。
8 {* _" b* Z* s长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
) {0 g, }/ }4 B* z. L7 {8 ^- V因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
' [6 r3 ^' [+ T+ o心想赢定了。
; D8 ?/ Q3 c% ^
6 t6 u' Q. T5 q! ]/ E没想到开始不到半刻钟，5 n5 P5 I# E B
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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% m1 _2 H# w) A+ ?- k! n赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
/ Z+ v2 h7 y' W T/ |: M7 k! h5 I但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。. u% X1 J5 N9 g7 A; R" Q
% I% U' J6 g+ @! J3 k赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?' N8 u5 `! s {3 K, Y0 h- g
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 7 J. P/ R& D$ S3 A2 e1 Q8 [2 R, z
上帝回答道： G6 U) O3 z1 N, t) a
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
/ j; u. g' n9 F' F2 s「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」: Q1 ^1 f9 {7 ?" i j
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
, f8 G- P# J+ Y
, a# x6 V1 Q' W( x 赌徒恍然大悟，& Y9 W! N. E$ u1 F( N1 D7 L' y3 @
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，6 m+ s: I! l/ Z3 _$ Y
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！4 Z! M0 |$ Q- a5 g/ U4 w
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, v2 t- f% d; \. _6 k9 @
上帝说完便不见踪影。
' M+ G+ H* N. W: K& f* I0 ^( B
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
% f- a' p H8 P) B$ r7 w/ T3 q若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，* f& ~0 D4 N' z! {/ I/ T
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
2 R0 G' p+ d* f4 C$ v& w' N对赌徒十分有利。
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* _- u8 T' d& o" C+ k6 \ `但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
* B& S) E3 P" u: R$ I B5 _在还没掷到1000次之前，9 t3 y$ { x$ i) a5 y, Y
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
& v- [( [# Y3 }. P4 x
% J( I' L& k8 ~* S3 @ 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
8 j3 e% L# p' h1 x# ]3 d1 O, K6 Y& f& q: F
, A" k* ]/ j) q 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。$ P2 V/ i5 m8 ^% P
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，& k' T- a3 {7 W
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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