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[体育菠菜心得方法] 如何判断菠菜公司盈利方向
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这次将介绍如何利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,从而对一场比赛作出比较准确的判断。看本文需要对让球盘和水位有一定的了解,一般网站足彩专栏都有介绍,本文将不再赘述。: m6 q8 P3 A7 k! L' h) F- H
单场涉及的比赛面广、繁杂,除了大家熟悉的五大联赛外,还包含多国小联赛,想要收集众多小球队的信息,对于普通彩民来讲难度不小,以互联网现有的赛事资讯远远难以满足判断比赛的需求,所以对菠菜公司开出的盘口具备一定的认知知识是很有必要的,菠菜公司拥有强大的资讯实力,以及无孔不入的关系网络,他们对于一场比赛所能了解到的信息要远远超出普通彩民的想象,所以通过盘口判断比赛是彩民常用的一种行之有效的方法。( S8 F1 w& H& j2 H: h
随着菠菜业的发展,菠菜公司已不再和菠菜者对赌,现在已发展为赚取上下盘投注差额,从中获取利益,可以说基本立于不败之地,菠菜公司开出的盘口是参考了两支球队实力以及非实力因素开出的,其操盘手法纷繁复杂,稍不注意就会掉入其设置的诱盘陷阱中,那么一场比赛菠菜公司如何才能获得最大利益呢?大家知道,盘口水位会随着距离开球时间的临近而变化,这是菠菜公司根据上下盘的投注额,来降低赔付风险,所以常有诱盘一说,一般来说,菠菜公司根据自身的资源,对一场比赛的结果是有比较精准的判断的,当比赛结果可能会造成很大的损失或某个结果会带来巨大利益时,甚至会出现操纵比赛的可能,假球也就应运而生了。  c: k8 V% a* T$ W4 `: i6 T
判断菠菜公司的盈利方向是对比赛走向的一个最好的方式,可是菠菜公司的资金流向是不会公开的,我们可以利用单场即时SP值来推断菠菜公司的盈利方向,每次足彩开奖前,大家都爱到各网站查询过关统计,根据此来推算奖金成色,本文所介绍的方法也类同于此,单场的即时SP值往往代表了一场比赛上下盘投注额的比例,下面就来谈谈怎么推算:
# ]9 I7 w# N+ ~( d首先我们假设一场比赛的投注总额为1,
6 v& c) f  |5 `2 Z9 i设胜项即时SP值为X& p; f* C/ z* Q8 X5 g5 U4 T
设平项即时SP值为Y
# s; Z& k. Z6 h. f设负项即时SP值为Z
3 T1 n  I0 I3 D& o# }2 `" J那么结合投注总额和即时SP值我们来推算胜平负投注比例:
& r, X8 [0 l* o5 a' D" b7 M2 n主胜投注额比例为1÷X
- m' [+ u& V- M( ]* I( g- D主平投注额比例为1÷Y
! @8 E: _# Q8 O9 j1 n, n5 r主负投注额比例为1÷Z  M6 q0 G$ B+ }* U& t
下面来计算菠菜公司的盈利:7 W/ {9 m/ u! \( @
上盘胜出:W1=(1÷Z)-(1÷X×上盘水位)
3 j9 ?2 c! i+ V" U走 盘:W2=(1÷X)+(1÷Z)-(1÷Y)4 Q/ P! M6 T; P1 @# z4 ?$ F
下盘胜出:W3=(1÷X)-(1÷Z×下盘水位)$ j5 S/ Z8 I% ~6 s% A. D+ O
如何根据菠菜公司盈利来判断比赛:
9 S+ A! |- `1 n2 R根据推算得出的W1、W2、W3,盈利最大值为菠菜公司最为看好的赛果,大家投注时可按此赛果选择首选项,盈利接近的话可考虑双选或全包。% A2 V- o9 [7 s" v: t3 e7 H4 w
以平半盘为例:! ]& @9 q4 I% y: ?+ \% R
主胜上盘全赢,主平投注上盘输一半、投注下盘赢一半,主负下盘全赢,套入公式则:
! v" ]& k! D5 e7 p主胜W1=(1÷Z)+(1÷Y)-(1÷X ×上盘水位)
8 ]1 O# n1 l/ q主平W2=(1÷X)/2 -((1÷Y)+1÷Z))/2×下盘水位
+ d9 |: i8 z4 B3 U! h3 O2 ?& r主负W3=(1÷X)-((1÷Y)+1÷Z))×下盘水位- q! t3 R* V/ y; I& ?: q
说明:
. w$ l. r* b: k4 R+ N2 q1、即时SP值采集最好为比赛开赛前半小时或一小时的,此时的SP最接近开奖SP值,这样推算的更为准确。/ \1 ]8 S! K+ i2 }9 p  s4 d) i- Q
2、盘口常常开出如平半或半一这样的套盘,推算菠菜公司盈利时要将此考虑在内,上面公式并未计算套盘的情况,上面公式只是提供一个方法,个人应用时要结合开出的盘口灵活运用。
& l9 v: a3 ]$ e3、本推算公式建立在主队为上盘的基础上,适合主队为上盘的比赛,若主队为受让方可自行调换主客队推算之7 t% D' G8 O, w) g; }. e
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是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊
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主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
挺科学的,用数学来解释挺合理的{:4_195:}
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3#
神奇波波 发表于 2015-6-2 07:34# v6 W5 \! q+ f7 t
是不是赔付低的一方应该是盈利的方向啊
& ^5 U* D" G: p) C% O  V# x8 n
只能说可性大一点的哦
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4#
{:4_99:}
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