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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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当前离线
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4 b9 f4 U& E1 | v. H0 k+ V* |
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。. ?3 P# t; P, e& q$ S/ p
" K+ T* t& i1 [2 S5 F' ]为什么？
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( p3 W* k" Q) p+ d- b8 c3 e1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
" \" Z' q7 M0 j' H: v( \* B' N2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
; `7 b; Y/ j8 X x0 O 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
/ |6 j. \) _, D 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
N! E+ \' k2 @2 w8 z l% E 第一把输，你没有了。3 x6 n0 I% J. ^; N8 o" W9 ~/ V
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
* H; K3 I& l' K# z 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
3 n$ i8 D2 ~/ r# M5 Q% r. D( j0 f …………无限下去。% e8 {: ?4 ]* Z2 W) Y( k: \
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……5 Z' G6 y- t$ i) }
/ e, x5 x' H- b1 i( t- N3 I' n5 ^" W是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。' l2 V+ g% S1 Z5 f% j
( S1 c$ {6 @# f2 g; n( B这就是总是输的原因。。) \/ ^7 y2 N: C6 f7 X P6 _) k1 j# r
/ Z& Q% D/ D+ J k3 \& q, k" i; \为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
! B0 v2 k2 j" y0 D, {. h! X1 g/ V: a& l# B1 W6 e3 k5 O
1、我觉得可以打偏差。
' Y) `8 s! m/ v6 w- H2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。. u* {& N `2 p# T# {& @
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。, K( ~9 o) Y# Y+ d# a/ q" B3 h
: i6 D: u# W# q. } W% C6 r% J. I人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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