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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了,下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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8 ]6 S& d1 l1 w2 x/ Z9 Q有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50,输赢各半的结果,但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。8 m( o+ M# s( t, F
# ~, ^2 A. S/ q3 h这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50,输赢是对半,但是我们真正玩起来,许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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# h Q5 F5 |$ H! Z- u* q9 [4 h" @为什么?
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( b$ |( p3 d2 e2 J1、因为下注的次数太多了(任何人都逃不过5050)。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
" k$ v$ V$ J. X8 N4 g/ {$ Q2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样,也可能是5050。, {. X& G, |8 i. J! ~/ y9 O
假如你只有最后一个码了,而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。# T ^: B' ?; V0 l% S
第一把赢,你有两个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/48 l- p. b& D$ y, F$ O0 h
第一把输,你没有了。
8 |3 \3 [ d6 ` L# _8 j- X+ Z. t 第二把赢,你有三个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/8。+ \3 d' O3 T+ B' l( J* P
第二把输赢,你还可以继续。。( h* b8 ?$ Z4 I! u
…………无限下去。
$ ~" z6 H$ Z$ p$ T$ D( z4 U! o清袋的概念,不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……0 B o" j+ ^8 w5 I1 V
) i4 l) S6 i& J1 S- u7 F
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。& ]- |, Y' @% [; s5 S1 f
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢??
/ _. G6 Y! K, {" D) _' T7 N6 X0 V
2 ]9 m O% x7 U' u" O1、我觉得可以打偏差。
! J2 e- i3 q$ Z/ s2、存送1%,返水1%,加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
" Y: ]& B1 m9 P4 o
6 d7 y3 c9 A5 G# o, ~: Z2 Z1 y但是,这,,,只是理论,实践考虑的因素更多。。( R; {% `0 Y K) L3 x
" E6 Y! c7 ]) B7 E/ p* [人的心态不可控,人的行为不可控,人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择,所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择,运气不好的话,就会连续选择错误,也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的,在正常的不作弊的情况下,庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半,庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了,反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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