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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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1#
以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲
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只跟踪一个联赛
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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔
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三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，
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2 R# a4 l! l/ ~偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。6 |1 [& h) l7 |  G! Q* i* u
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方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）1 J6 e9 O0 C! }% q
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然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱
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当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目) s" s, W' B, n0 n9 h/ l& |& X

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/ `, [% I3 y# k7 e亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，
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. c1 S% ~# Y) {" Y6 d( s7 R( R而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，
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6 B5 r+ l$ L, w$ s但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。
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( g3 t) E7 p; \+ t* Y3 @" h/ B理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。+ P' H( ^5 O9 F; b; P2 f

/ J2 Z' m3 C4 V, o" N* D& K' q0 C/ o排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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2#
以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，
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; l0 u7 ]  _! R# Z# T! b但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，% \3 l- b# Z: ]+ y8 U8 ?0 O' m
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这比买国债存银行合算。
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在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，- ^; B' d; o! @9 k6 I6 \

9 }$ s2 K2 W: D几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。- y) u& ]" p+ C! Z2 D. p8 ]3 e

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常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。5 {7 Y9 ~/ K+ q! _

( E9 W6 b0 k3 h, ^; C放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，. |: k% f, C: Q
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就是回避了大的亏损，( B3 n  e2 f8 {

% L& b9 R$ T& C大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，, q6 G5 ~; x4 J7 j5 z: T7 B

# o) S$ v/ K: m* ^" z$ }回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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3#
学习一下，天天进步

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4#
顶起再慢慢看

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