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[lastpost] => 2798959 以太坊的关键指标转向“主导地位”——ETH 即将迎来一波上涨行情吗？（转） 1768951292 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。! a7 h4 V0 P3 g* a
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
3 f% n+ n" w3 c }+ \/ ^9 `比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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7 `2 _1 v1 D, |# x尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。4 V% c, W$ x! H. N# i/ E
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…/ L& U6 J; n4 [" W6 W# c( u' \
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。) K# @: Q: ]& a6 [; W0 X5 Z& g: c
8 G- ]" J% e% i因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。( k6 V) b2 `% E
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。% F+ R) H( r5 l- S- @: N! @
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突9 L9 e( b" q! i
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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- |$ {, X+ [3 x& y I3 a$ z- G同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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5 l0 v# H+ L$ A- H! N5 h相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
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7 J1 ]; L' Z: {- K) ~* F6 ]此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 # L- V( p$ ~2 D6 O
, p7 I) H5 v9 W: i1 z如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。4 P' [9 p8 B& }$ y4 o
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。5 Z! U, b' l3 v$ Z3 {0 f% R$ h
, Y9 W+ j% K2 M: i* ]BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
; ?+ ^/ ?2 s( ?7 a$ t% l* k比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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