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[lastpost] => 2800808 比特币也是开启了反弹之旅了啊 1769499815 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
Bitwise高管：人们正低估比特币 BTC将大幅上涨(转）
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据两位 Bitwise 高管称，在特朗普ZF威胁要改革全球贸易，而经济指标表明各国央行可能向市场注入现金之际，比特币是一个“世代机遇”。4 D' f9 {, y1 ^, }
t6 X# _* C Q" ^1 lBitwise Asset Management 的阿尔法策略主管 Jeff Park 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中表示：“世界确实处于最大混乱的边缘。”
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Park 指出，2 月 12 日众议院共和党预算计划将债务上限提高 4 万亿美元，旨在增加ZF支出，同时还有去全球化趋势加剧，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普2 }% Z' \' @( G" ?. {* W
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最近升级的互惠关税威胁。
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Park 还指出，市场将出现他所谓的“最大延迟”，指出“黄金跑赢大盘的尾部风险”，共和党高达 4.5 万亿美元的“史无前例的减税”，以及他认为即将实施 _6 n G* f* A' i' l& s& Y
- Z) m& ^# d" ?6 O; {& B2 U的收益率曲线控制 (YCC)——央行将长期利率作为刺激借贷和投资的目标。" F0 j4 i- O& H) ?
( j: V X- H, s5 P3 j美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔对今年进一步降息的可能性泼了冷水——2 月 11 日，他告诉参议院银行委员会，美国经济“保持强劲”，美国“不需要急于调整”利率。
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* r7 i. k: E4 p3 k2 b; r4 l: E- tBitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中写道：“人们严重低估了比特币今年进入主流的巨大飞跃。从未如此乐观。”
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“BTC IV 百分位数是全年最低的，你看不到这一代机会，所以我们不一样了，”Park 补充道，他指的是比特币的隐含波动率百分位数——过去一年中波动率( g6 b4 E( S* P1 p
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低于当前水平的天数百分比。- Q- s% H" K3 G/ t" e/ `/ j: a
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根据 Deribit 的数据，比特币的波动率指数目前为 50.90，低于年度高点 71.28，IV 百分位数为 12.3。
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! k8 X* J2 Y- Q6 h; W3 W* F5 h0 {据 CoinGecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1.5%，交易价格略高于 96,000 美元。
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& S" A2 o% e8 w' ]$ c- ^今年到目前为止，比特币的交易价格在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但在上个月末特朗普就职典礼期间达到 108,786 美元的峰值。: |/ g4 `5 c) U2 L
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追踪加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数的市场情绪在 2 月 17 日为 51 分（总分为 100 分），表明市场处于“中性”状态。市场情绪较上周的“恐惧”水平有所改善，但低于% c* ~2 y% {4 |3 C5 y+ K, N
& N7 o: |0 N) m: s% K1 j/ _上个月更为积极的市场情绪水平。
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