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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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) j) X J- H* q4 J4 D. f比特币重新分配正在进行
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6 m% @- `$ l, V$ F目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。; U) b& y2 X& |' L; e1 }
$ \/ @9 H% d# l W! T ]目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。( |0 U' y* t4 L$ C% y
. M9 P7 `1 v: E然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。7 S6 ]2 B* |2 G4 i/ l3 X
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。- m( {: G7 L( j1 A6 t+ x7 S
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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7 `( `5 y/ x8 ~) \仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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9 m0 [* X. M6 v; U6 b0 g3 F比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
, s8 I0 n' [* \8 a" G* YCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。. U8 H& v' p# B: g6 q9 I1 S: k
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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8 |" l7 k) j3 l, U一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。5 i& Q' \# h% u3 h' I6 P
6 b% v1 W7 w1 ^0 m5 h* Z现货交易商调整9 p( T! e8 w# _/ a4 W7 N; F
7 b M) O1 T% S6 C& }现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。6 ?/ |% O9 X, r7 D6 O0 }
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。# r- ^. X, L& ~+ l! n; A
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, M! n" H+ L( ~3 w0 ]# S7 J0 \6 y如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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