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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
. [, e9 B* R' `5 A至少有以下几个原因：$ x* r4 T; p/ h
G; x, E) l$ S: V( Z* \0 C
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
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在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
0 X4 o% l, G& u) H" s. c
+ M4 s) |/ M% T机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
; v6 J6 n# m* p& I5 l# `" Q' Q# c
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
# U( _9 F2 r2 k4 L9 a
5 b( s. F* ]# i7 \6 A+ [( [325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
~+ h1 \5 ^ d* V
j! { P. s( Z, e5 S据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
0 I$ z* g: w5 W0 t- p8 L; m* @5 ~6 N$ L' D% S
达到200亿美金）
+ y1 O, L+ U. e% d. T1 e H, _9 O1 @, G. h+ g# x8 s; z' w
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊" d4 H# Y' [2 O
/ a X* V. l4 h3 Y
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化3 m7 A2 H0 N9 G$ A) C( d- B+ T
* z7 s7 v0 Q* n7 ]
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
0 \4 t1 M* j. w' w. K N
+ z, o7 P2 U* J( J( V2 T8 o# O0 c1 u3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大; _5 X1 D% N* y) \5 b1 M
, s2 p. X) \+ F& j% x1 S* s
资金的信任和青睐。0 E" k7 C! g0 F0 u
: }0 V% z# Y v1 L) n$ Q4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美( z( M2 i t3 T2 R0 `
, Y& e1 e3 M) D金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
3 I F1 S5 D) y0 P# l6 f/ W
6 t& i0 j9 @) o9 w3 L# U; l比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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