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0 \; F2 ]- ^! K7 U% v' M; s f7 R比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
0 G6 ~& i* ]3 v( e6 C
5 W1 ^5 {3 b; w' V# c# p6 c- }监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
1 N4 Q" b8 a5 Z# I
, g7 [1 b2 O6 g专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
( E6 y: X) q! n7 d: B! \7 _$ @8 q
( d1 I' X4 E( W% i股等风险较高的投资。 ; E, @" H. d4 m. @, \9 w
& ]- S! y8 e3 q ]3 f7 ?7 f
芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
% Z8 @4 h6 a+ j5 _$ z5 ^
% s% L. ]/ b7 n+ `. z: j: V明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 6 k# J( g+ P' I( K8 H2 J! u
6 X% }* R* t( i6 ^现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动: K, P/ x: N. y4 w8 J
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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9 e: d# i( o* x# k/ F! K从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
+ p) o4 r& ^& C# s, ?% r* m. p5 A3 K
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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2 X/ h" w- u5 o- g$ X- l仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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) v! ]2 f& ~4 p9 S6 i4 @库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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7 s0 e. Z E" T y* @推动力之一。
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+ B2 B* d f ^! h, u* |02/ ]( R) U- j0 k( z
, T* l9 y1 {/ o" d P有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 # ^! a& V* @2 r8 K' |8 [* {
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣7 p1 }/ W1 n6 r8 g: ^
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” 2 ]5 i! z$ E! h" j
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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