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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 7 I, R" u) w) Y, L7 ?1 B1 C% V1 ~, O
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5. 废话的不对称原则
* `1 d1 K% f3 G5 h8 Z8 w" v反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
0 d! `. b5 Z" S; k4 L( l1 b j+ H$ N t2 B
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
' h2 b9 E0 L, C3 |$ |8 D. Q! M. y; Q2 i P# s. `
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
' L7 J2 q& z& H) {/ C3 |' x0 V! S1 r) }7 A* j
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
! T4 F9 F7 M! {( n# a2 ~4 s
# v& J# f& k4 T* z而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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7 z! ]) M+ B7 f! @2 \# O6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)/ V( T4 c: X L5 N0 w
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。! [4 S5 R, b% Y6 J" E
& D* d g& Q' I- s4 V
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
- I: x' m) [ A' n1 Z; U5 h0 u- L S {; }- T
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
4 K, F; j% W/ y8 q$ `0 v3 g4 m/ ^! q* i" x; ?3 ~& L/ m F8 v8 c
想象一下罕见事件:; L' @1 y9 k. j, b1 u4 O* J, }
0 N9 {+ Y4 R5 D% }) @• 中本聪的钱包苏醒2 G7 O6 w1 ~- H; Z- o# w3 b5 F6 O. [! v
& c$ f6 Z' m9 {1 ]0 d• 核打击4 c* x: m8 r* o" g
, x$ ?- a) g9 @5 L H
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!6 r; [8 S1 F1 l9 w
& A2 m& E# f) X( d n2 p4 b- T; e7.二八定律
; A ~! u# s+ d2 S在币圈:- C7 D& ^6 ?1 Z$ U! O
3 A( I* T: W: C1 e" l, E
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
# y0 _9 ^0 m G/ y6 ]. |
0 J# B. |. w: ?3 w; l+ c- J1 @+ a80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
" c" i% Z" f0 @; V- B/ Z! E8 P; @; t# u" `( f$ f' l6 t
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
, a( c- W8 F. G5 ^9 @2 m i0 S5 G R \+ G5 O) q
8.网络效应
( N+ I: _/ K6 V8 a2 u4 R5 k H9 L产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。% ^& o- G9 u7 z# k5 \
, T* } |7 a% J/ h
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
) ]# _8 J7 U/ |1 k' [) q- q4 F# b; M1 ^* u9 J- U
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。) b* M7 @: p8 v( A, V, b4 H1 N
) T' D% I$ T/ ?; _; V* D; x7 `+ i
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。3 w( |$ g* Q) [' V0 e
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