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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
! l* W6 B$ X! `1 a: g3 H9 r
7 e$ i3 \0 l: G# h: {# |: f其实原文标题不是这样的
1 R' G' Y' c0 I' R/ d" _6 i0 O6 W: T
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
% ` D0 o0 l- l& F4 B. C/ {3 e他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
- I% @* G) p! F5 x" ~$ }# E [' N) \
7 R/ W& ?- X, `) r+ D) E& v 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
9 H4 \ y P" U9 z
( p+ r; Y3 D8 p 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」+ T5 T# Z9 C/ a
0 q3 s4 X/ ]# a2 T* G
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 & q/ S# f$ }& S( P
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」0 M5 i, W. Q" |; V) |3 ?$ [
8 r& F3 }# J) D( k/ B& N 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。7 f# \( b% Y9 T9 x. s
% W6 u8 B7 r# O; ?接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，0 _( V0 O, X" A2 ^6 t( v
因此铜板较容易出现正面。$ D9 d0 g) I; {* A' Q2 M$ r
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
1 Y: g6 H, c P4 b因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
* A( x0 V# |! d; B5 E心想赢定了。
/ h [0 W8 s8 q# ?1 t' T& P0 I* b5 \
2 R f% Z% ~1 s; x7 |% C没想到开始不到半刻钟，3 t1 B0 B" `8 F9 P
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
) C( l3 @. _3 | ; P5 f( B6 B3 {% z( w, |
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，, X, o; o! a- Q% D- p5 |7 }
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
! p( J2 ^! D# X5 {
2 `+ o# Y' \0 K" N赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
- _' E7 f1 L( T& O, p他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ! A/ `3 H' x4 ^3 k
上帝回答道：" N2 s% _8 X- Z! J5 D/ P# M3 f
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」% O! F2 j, s: d0 ~
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」; [% U5 i$ {# [4 \$ G* f
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
0 I4 A8 G, c6 R6 M, P o- Z& k& R. x; ^1 u4 S
赌徒恍然大悟，7 T- K. J# i5 ^2 z+ s- |# ^1 |
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，) n6 ~1 q( m$ @3 t+ \
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！" F+ G9 n( R. S1 r8 R$ v
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」( @' f: t4 u0 t& H
上帝说完便不见踪影。 - W( o9 |( ~3 d# Q3 M& \ M4 s U
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，6 O5 f$ B8 v) K% V7 o
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
# T$ z$ r& L, e: I! T2 o1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
5 }" C" @+ r4 H6 F6 v6 O对赌徒十分有利。
; U7 s5 y/ N4 d , Y8 Z$ d# A2 W6 C" I6 V0 Z# j0 A
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
1 S. S, m, q6 g6 K" m) X在还没掷到1000次之前，7 ?! r5 c' P# N0 S. y, ^8 B
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。/ F3 A& T' N! c" Y$ x( L
/ x9 m/ c% ^2 p) g' p
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。6 Z6 U) g0 Y4 r7 c" [& m# f( C* k3 d, w8 A
, E- z+ A# p) V2 P! ~* O 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。7 g4 B$ a% P e; F
# `! z) `; ]8 x4 J5 ]
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
4 I, ~- X" x* T; i: Z6 p) |
7 N9 k3 Y- }5 N1 {: |7 f; c/ J" P 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ & h" d, _4 Q4 {3 R
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