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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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1 J' Z. f U* _2 o2 f由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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. i" w9 ^" v& x/ B k' Y }* W比特币重新分配正在进行5 [8 i, d7 p* \+ _! |9 N
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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^7 \: M2 y7 A( M# `+ b) c4 F# c6 W目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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. H3 P% X2 m! B9 q5 \1 u然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。/ t% H) \7 n; j3 w
1 @, I. @1 i( j H, d+ G通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。( y; _8 ~3 _; X7 r- T( s
# C- Q: ]( q' E! K! T仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微2 a9 R- }3 X3 n# D" _0 I
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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: j( v6 V6 e. R本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。( d' @5 B$ ?$ k/ z+ t$ y
3 K) ?0 Z% x$ x! ~现货交易商调整
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5 L3 w( k# p }3 v/ Y7 q现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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9 @& Q5 h% D, u. `+ L+ N仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。8 Z( w! K; g4 ~3 G/ G; Z
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' |" L1 M+ ~+ p# |9 T如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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