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[lastpost] => 2806177 高盛确认持有价值 1.53 亿美元的 XRP(转) 1770912675 小钱儿
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势9 S3 F# E( [ X U; ?
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过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。
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PPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
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" \) G9 |$ h2 O' G$ _* RCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
4 J! g! x* H4 a6 g$ j! M0 q" r! |& N8 ^" U& a3 d9 B
2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
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% F' e& R; f2 f- g" e1 N1 i7 S1 W当前持仓成本:: N \6 Q" j- ]5 X# q
, J3 G) D/ W& x6 n% X机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;! D) I* g4 l( {/ Q* d+ n
0 y1 ^! b" v" y4 j! d$ N微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;8 J6 s+ d7 {- y, n
# K1 U+ S- o$ z+ W5 j0 B
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。6 j) ?- Y, T2 U6 O/ t
5 Q& o% a. l5 O! ~/ ?7 E比特币价值回归: A& c1 }. A9 X8 Y' z/ F& s. j
" o0 D$ ^4 i# Q' f8 s1 F4 b市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
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+ }4 p5 C+ e2 N3 G& v8 _0 L5 u3 D随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
9 ?8 v3 n8 x6 D- B2 s0 s. I! }+ m: e% }0 f8 }1 `2 H# L1 x( l6 E4 y
加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
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3. 市场热点与反弹情况3 K0 n+ T z) t* L; K( [- {" F
; B# {8 m1 s! U/ jETH:- _- O( K% W8 k8 ?7 p2 |
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虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。3 R! r* m& o" e B. h0 @% d- @( X
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机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。! q* _6 w' v S7 k( _5 k f
+ ?5 m) T: b2 O2 \# r( `3 T
BTC:
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。; C- ~# U5 ]5 z2 d& [/ D
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如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。3 O9 Z6 q7 C- l7 y8 E } X" |
9 q! H/ x% @6 TSOL与XRP:
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SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。
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( D4 @2 T# ^4 Q% K" I1 P7 uXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。/ R0 p5 E, J8 B
* C+ E# F) q, u3 ?2 R其他热点项目:
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$ e1 E! u$ O3 V4 J' E涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
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山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。- m8 V( F$ e4 R
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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6 m9 v7 i. E6 L; ^$ B4 IAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。; m0 G6 z/ w* O
6 a9 }" f! R% z; I9 K y9 U6 H蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。$ W$ k0 _; O5 ^! q+ ^2 [8 }
, ~9 Q4 s9 ] ]* [0 b8 d4 o新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。
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6 |1 E) M6 ]# [9 L市场展望$ [" o" c+ p' e! j' c9 C4 g
1 j+ n. h7 ~" N, L f r随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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