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[lastpost] => 2761878 赵长鹏香港演讲：稳定币是美元全球化利器，RWA面临流动性困境（转） 1756786097 hong29
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
1 U! ?/ A: V: j- y2 }1 l" W至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
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5 O% H$ N( o" \. X, Y& ]在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化5 {) `; {- c( n* I- Q
* ]5 R; O. P, C6 s4 e/ \
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案; {$ u( e6 k. b5 _: `
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出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
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, K$ U5 r2 x6 k7 ]325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
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据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有" y% N0 ~, F2 J" W. i& V. P
, ~" h( x+ _% a' d达到200亿美金）6 o. z7 q/ z2 G& d0 d
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2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
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% F u1 ~7 E0 t2 A& L更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
% [ J6 L$ j$ {2 j |
7 A/ M M# D- v) _4 Q: ~- p, t6 q的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。5 }6 q" F& W( s3 `* Y
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
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7 W5 w b8 S/ ?; k7 J7 K1 t资金的信任和青睐。# F5 y3 i0 i, J1 K
& g/ b6 p$ ~! z( q" b1 d" }
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美5 C& `' i! J8 h
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金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入% r% f; a5 I2 {( v! Z/ w2 P
2 a: L& ~ k9 P/ ^
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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