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8 _1 l: g) ]/ g0 ]( \4 M比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 $ I# q# \. k8 s2 ~6 ?* x
8 f( q2 M8 z& D监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
6 L9 i: X3 q) b: W: Z* a" A
( o5 m3 v0 g7 a& q专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
: s% z* r% o, e# }/ r! ~! Y1 F$ M0 D* m7 \
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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* T" } T/ b! c, ~1 f! h股等风险较高的投资。
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4 T& L6 f8 L- P$ Z芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储9 K K% s+ @, U
+ l1 ]0 t. z0 M
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 4 \( V) @7 e& n: b, W+ \. R5 u
# G- \, ?( G7 Q$ @- p
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
. D: ]5 C) A# b1 T8 g, m& o( `
$ ]; ^/ v4 n$ ]5 J因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
6 E! \5 E/ M) w; E, b8 ^& l1 R7 C) Q) s; R! V4 j; W$ q I
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
A* W+ P4 p$ J0 ~) q7 e$ }
# W; k: @3 |. z更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此 }% }7 ^/ v$ a3 ] n* d6 `. ]
& w, s7 w Q/ R4 T7 p7 i/ r, U% p仍有许多交易商可能买入。 , w7 W; u5 g7 N* y' v6 h! H
4 n+ O; i! {7 G
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的5 D8 f# f# s; i
; b& X. s4 z4 W" @7 k
推动力之一。
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f6 a' c \& W9 e# M9 X02
+ p, d& j! a$ B' V9 d5 o0 \* c0 z3 U/ l# V( J3 F
有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ' F2 D* N5 S8 x/ S3 b. o, h
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
! E7 Z( o. u5 O; M$ u/ P& L
! D5 {9 h! B0 @" F3 J4 Z+ E$ n加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣: r" Z, Z5 I/ |& b9 u7 U
6 |( n/ I$ V' {的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
1 C4 I7 m, W3 [7 p g9 R# k; [$ v1 {+ ]9 |- o
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
9 _9 t& M& O m& M5 t" e; o# ]! {/ q( l
- a- w0 y# C6 L# V今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 7 z- g) F( G* [
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