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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 3 P0 j. a, f. o( G }2 b& T1 Y
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5. 废话的不对称原则
! V8 Z$ N; n( ~& M反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
3 \ ?, R. |# F6 u& ]& j: w( t ~) @( S
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。" a0 ?1 s: R' s( I# {2 ]
: ~2 L$ }& w+ }( P写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。; W& d. [3 A! ?$ c. |8 W
6 v* h% E9 d, q8 |0 B
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
& z# o' O, {7 z4 A) A1 [9 n" ?- B0 _) L0 ^4 u( A9 l
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。0 \* J) M& i' K) ]
, |' J/ K; d X, e6 q6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅): T* i @0 v& ?1 g. f5 P+ ~
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
R L J7 A# n/ X
1 z2 l( y0 C L( S( c* z! s$ B不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。& C y/ f. @3 y E* W( f
9 }, Z& P4 ^ J- S! x5 h# |) x% |
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。6 B: L- _/ j5 O; v
% Z" N$ w/ \1 _想象一下罕见事件:
- O) x% a" z/ |4 p* `. g' [2 U' v8 O' Q
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
+ L" v! X- c, `3 ]6 m: K: I
, f+ L1 l5 j: R8 B• 核打击* G- J: p) ?' a7 E- d* b: N
& o* H/ Z: v2 X6 m# _ w
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!$ I7 b+ [+ i! V$ b0 A
; d* t- `; c ]/ P- ~7.二八定律1 q+ U; X O- E) _3 a
在币圈:
0 @+ P6 l' y* g L# d/ b1 q7 ~1 y- _& }: [/ r/ e
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
/ \: X, n& C' [; s$ U" F
- n! m0 Z6 d# b80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
S. R2 \0 }1 X# `. K; ]4 j9 [5 q& [
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
`3 ~( O9 M: A! h6 `+ g' c% @- j
- M9 K% Q! g$ @8 }: \1 O, q8.网络效应
; n: h' { L) z8 Z3 {1 o( R4 X产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。+ k2 z( [- K! j6 q
: D' ]" l) A( `5 T想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?7 U# e& j: W3 J0 `: d+ `7 { g
" L; n- V% l5 `' u一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。4 R4 s! V' d1 Z( r# g T
9 Q* `: w# y- m3 v3 X ]9 A投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。: u" W. X2 `1 ~. g b' H
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