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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ' J) `6 N8 h( e, u
- q& J5 Z2 w, I; [9 O) |其实原文标题不是这样的; D0 N! n( z; g" V z" k
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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7 T: V2 V& C" I& }6 E2 b9 i4 J+ `
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
# i" m1 t$ Z* r# b3 W# Z他希望能和上帝来场赌局。" I+ ~/ D1 j% T# {/ y
0 s( l" q+ `9 U/ Y
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。7 t( M! S, J8 k: T5 D
& L# p9 g* O" w" j# K 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
/ \9 W5 `/ X6 V8 X6 d- Y . n# [7 e& s8 R7 l/ S5 y
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 # Y ?: W# I7 b& ~
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
/ R' j6 I! r4 K5 h
% d7 Y2 y! u8 D4 ^6 b 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
; V( j( d' U/ J8 Z2 n, m ' C) q$ S9 ^; s9 U
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
2 I% Y: l$ {0 g- g% b' G因此铜板较容易出现正面。 `7 V$ ]# r% K: V/ f0 e. f- S
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 # M) c- j- W- T3 _6 G- M) L0 Q! y
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。6 i" G- a7 |6 F2 ^9 |1 Z
心想赢定了。
3 L* N; H8 ]: J F; K
; P* k* S. h3 ? {' V$ c5 u没想到开始不到半刻钟，8 X+ e8 D' } G) L1 E( P$ [
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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/ `6 }9 z" h* W- `( b/ i9 Y赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
" \* q& o- w4 l0 U2 L但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。3 B( y/ c6 M0 Z7 d0 U1 J! ?
2 `$ Y b& P- g7 i8 p- b% g# e# u
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
5 e0 e4 c9 X6 K u他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ! q7 e* g* ?# _- ]* h/ A5 q
上帝回答道：
: N5 s( s5 F+ G$ V% h3 X) w「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」2 r: R/ [. { I" }. U1 c6 I' P: T4 L
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」. N: q* b1 i* Q5 l4 {# X
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
! G4 O) G9 T( i% x; p' ]% u. R' d9 t' d* ]
赌徒恍然大悟，
) ^& }1 _6 z+ `原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，/ ~5 K5 F% R. W( M. I, a9 K
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
# Z( `8 G# d* l, C# x「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
4 Z; i* U! v* f# H4 ^上帝说完便不见踪影。 6 w8 G, J% e$ L: h d
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，! V* x( z- u: t9 w
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
+ g+ f" i' G7 Q3 D! y+ ^$ l! x3 \7 H1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
" ^" A. ]9 ]" |0 a9 l: d对赌徒十分有利。
8 c5 }# r5 `) ?6 P 6 W( ]$ E6 v; {5 o' k' i3 P
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，: [. i' u; F1 j7 T$ X
在还没掷到1000次之前，; a, S7 J1 `" `# ]- t$ l& U7 H
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; c# [4 y' k9 I
/ k. B, F* E# n5 f1 }/ H% Q" Y% A6 r
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。" }2 k2 J m3 C% [" ?/ A0 Z
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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: [4 H$ t! v9 l 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
4 L' J" I. g# G b0 F% Y1 O/ y9 {$ ~3 ~
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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