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[lastpost] => 2807666 迈克尔·塞勒称，即使账面亏损50亿美元，该策略仍将“永远”买入比特币。（转） 1771561039 小作文
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美股波动性罕见超越新兴市场和比特币，同时一向被视为安全资产的美债剧烈波动，这让投资者开始质疑持有美国资产的明智性。
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瑞银认为，一旦全球无风险利率出现波动，意味着所有市场都将被颠覆。分析师Ed Al-Hussainy更是一针见血地指出：“我其实不担心9 I/ z. |! c* s! u% | B2 F
# `) V% D7 [# H, l4 O$ L0 ]* H/ n. ^4 H衰退，我担心的是金融危机。”4 g$ e, l( d0 A8 o
美股周五重回涨势，看上去市场风险偏好情绪恢复，但实际上投资者已经开始质疑美国资产的安全性，尤其是美债的剧烈波动，让金2 T0 P8 Y) ]1 ~3 \
7 c1 c5 k5 M) s! f2 t融危机的恐惧再次笼罩华尔街。5 h, E4 z* `# Y3 H
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过去一周，美国10年期国债收益率创下20多年来最大单周跳升，美股则跳水后又暴涨。表面上看，标普500指数周涨超5%，美债收益8 o+ h( B& W& p. \; v& U4 g
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率回到2月水平，比特币收盘走高，似乎一切如常。
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3 G; K/ @6 C0 h- z然而令人不安的是，本周美股、美债和美元同时下跌的现象，正是典型的新兴市场特征，而非全球最安全资产的表现。尤其本周美国9 D, T: c( x3 v" q' t, u" w
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长债出现如此大的波动，流动性危机似乎就在眼前，这让投资者开始质疑持有美国资产的明智性。瑞银集团首席策略师巴努·巴韦贾更% E) l" Z" |2 z! g. Y0 c
& \, y: j% i/ _: w是表示：
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9 {. P9 Y; ]: H k# m/ H6 W这太可怕了。我们正在重新定义全球无风险利率，如果全球无风险利率出现波动，它将颠覆所有市场。( ]& j6 O4 j0 x% ~7 @# p
6 L4 f& Q6 W7 p, u; h历史罕见，美国资产波动性超越新兴市场和比特币0 t( m" P( i$ s5 k# F Q
# B* ]9 \9 U/ o: g- D' J7 U特朗普最近的关税政策不仅损害了对美国经济的信心，也动摇了投资者对美国政策方向和美元资产的信任。即使以华尔街漫长的历史
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标准来看，本周都是一个惨烈的交易周，美股像是坐上了过山车，美债美元的走势更是暗示美国避险地位似乎不保了：. e0 f* i( J9 W4 M b. y9 G+ F. U$ |
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周一，因所谓的乌龙关税消息，美股上演15分钟脉冲式巨震，纳指一度低位暴拉10%，美债跳水。
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周二，不会关税豁免的消息粉碎美股反弹希望，道指盘中高位狂泻超2000点，标普抹平超4%涨幅转跌，美国国债市场则出现去杠杆式大跌。
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' ~2 F0 z& `! _0 \3 R/ q. Z3 J: D7 M周三，美国暂缓部分关税，三大美股指至少收涨近8%，标普创2008年来最大涨幅，美股交易量创下300亿股的历史新高。十年期美债
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收益率冲高回落。
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- W! O$ \( ]/ t( Q7 I9 n1 F" ~" K周四，全球投资者逃离美国资产，美国股债汇三杀，纳指跌超4%，美元两年来最大日跌，黄金新高。
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4 A! p' q. i8 D C周五，美联储暗示或出手，美股反弹收涨，但美债美元的跌势，警示着美国避险天堂的地位似乎不保了。
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Loomis, Sayles & Company的投资经理Andrea DiCenso表示："美国市场是否开始表现得像新兴市场？毫无疑问，
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9 z* ]* O) s3 ^: y- y% B, M是的，这正是我们所看到的。"
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根据数据显示，美股ETF的波动性甚至超过了追踪新兴市场的基金，也一度高于比特币。这种情况除了疫情、去
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年8月危机和美联储激进加息时期外，几乎从未出现。
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( V1 _4 }7 ?& Q7 W9 v7 H3 uRenaissance Capital的Neil Dutta在给客户的邮件中直言："标普500指数像加密货币一样交易，这可能不是好事。"+ G. \ e. n' l) |+ r4 `
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其实如果以价格行为来看的话就是提前做了超大回调，但是会不会转趋势就另外说了 |
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