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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。- A4 T, Z2 O% a" c( P( v
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
/ `' d9 L% C; F8 s/ m, h) q6 J+ O# F3 `4 i
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者! t! ^( z9 v: b
- @ Q. [' O1 [# j5 r' A: I a
7 |$ Z$ A, Q- B s4 x2 C; P8 B在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。. \" S+ d- E3 {- N% k; r
8 K7 T: R- w1 y7 r9 E在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，, }% `2 y$ A2 n1 ?. l9 ~
* ^/ K" R4 ~3 L5 d如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统# `" w& G O# |4 \' I) P) ]
' i% [" ?% E' y1 A# b
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
. h4 I: q5 I ^0 n) A
/ |$ t. W9 n; h6 K0 a$ J: N; a从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
, E$ E: l" W1 a6 \9 k, f) I
0 s: {2 z$ [4 W o# f3 U托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加( G5 @% F$ h( ?
/ ~3 i7 U( B# n L# }哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
2 k) I5 N" E% }4 s5 F Z
- I% b2 ?+ ?3 F: r" y* D! D3 `# }易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。6 x2 Q& A; j {8 A* n2 ^
6 s- ?+ V/ a; v4 _2 X3 E. a
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
) |6 z5 T1 D& {& Z7 d8 U% A
9 u: _- u, C) p$ a% qETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
j4 B _/ q6 \. G$ r$ P" O
/ L. t+ Y' ^# k: T0 R绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
- t& @4 P' S0 h1 V' j5 O
$ R) E& K! Z; x* g( c6 l* Y所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。( w* Y. u: `- r6 O
$ p5 M! O2 Q0 i" v
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
5 s) H% M6 O& Q0 p
* M# F. U- S! `" {# e k* `8 YGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
9 r% [: ~' d8 l- t ~( o8 b, p6 j3 W4 z2 f6 @; Q9 ~* l" n0 {; @5 g
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元: t4 ^9 V( f& P2 o% A
( u4 L7 n$ J3 K g- @( s& e的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。9 k9 Y3 I7 L, Z9 S' S: a
2 }! W( o! ^- {3 V; A( X不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
+ H' E! |2 z! ~. @# c$ B7 Y1 ]" Z. L1 \% W* L. N+ z$ s
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和% s% j$ l! l1 @ @: m7 O6 F
0 W' D `& X- y2 A5 }. I
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
2 |# X G: y. L: f) w- y- e, x+ v4 M7 U. m o$ n8 T
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