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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：8 R5 f& O' W9 V2 i" O+ g t
至少有以下几个原因：) N" T% ?5 D, K
0 X0 ]- d/ f# e/ a8 ~, a1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。/ c, L7 F# [0 D4 e6 {" g
4 M8 e/ s' n1 R在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
y) I' ^& Q: l7 o" q3 ?/ l
: Y$ b! p) f' b, ^7 i1 f机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
. e( I5 b6 W ^% f- q/ D, ^7 N" N
2 J; m$ \5 h! w0 _! I1 N$ f出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到7 L2 ]. X) t/ {. Z: A. g
' U* _5 L' f6 G: T' Q
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
1 G- M J+ W( v5 h8 h' u
. g: ]; l% g% m5 V4 _ F+ p据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
+ W" K, S. f- Z$ c% ~4 l: h
5 z5 X# l8 l: o. z, ^7 z达到200亿美金）
* x; K$ H4 U* G6 x1 J: [6 A4 X( }! n, P# L
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊# P! \* O6 x5 o
6 M/ i$ N1 d A; w) o- s, ^" ^+ h
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化- s1 k7 W# O9 r) r
5 H3 {2 i5 A5 I: ~$ E( f2 w; C3 U6 Z的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。2 D$ N& \$ ~) Y/ P9 v
* j3 X/ u. [" f! f7 b2 \8 D* y+ G+ J3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大3 e, n: P3 `. F, k, C
I6 T5 }8 V& g# _) U; F0 {
资金的信任和青睐。
/ M# H1 Y" `9 W1 e t" H
' K3 H1 X9 I. a7 k. B* o4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
( F& b4 D/ q* `5 X* ?& T9 l3 Q' R) N1 x$ G. a5 ~4 @
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入( G x6 Z$ Q5 a$ r8 x0 W) T
" ]0 M& G" M7 _- C% A$ L
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。. y9 t) Z0 C. Q# a
1 `6 A4 m1 i$ m4 z) o9 c& S& _
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