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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 # q6 L7 d3 t S6 G- _' Z
行情补充、 ; y1 v/ H) I, k* J& R! `
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
) |1 A# z. p( G市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
6 n4 M+ t+ \' ^1 Q2 w关于疑问、一一回复。
! {' h! X8 i0 ~! V, [8 d9 g- H$ R/ c今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
1 K8 ?7 q D j$ I4 f
- {: Y; ?1 z/ J8 r" c4 w
首先就个人的主观来说、
' n2 M' J( r5 ~5 q: l2 r对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
9 B: Q7 Y1 E, K. j) v极度憧憬市场的未来！ 2 O+ _) Z( s* [. s: \$ `" D; }1 u/ c
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
" m$ \ r* L7 b) Z' @最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 # Q1 ^9 t- _* h8 N) D
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 ( L0 J6 w4 m0 `
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 $ R9 T$ w/ A; A1 F2 b# I1 L
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。
- Q& ~ f0 b( d% n6 O其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 4 I! F D0 @0 x8 ~" Z( ^2 H# a
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
: f( e3 a5 D2 @! C: `* Z+ B为什么会跌、
@3 f; G$ q; o3 _$ @1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 1 N* M0 f, {8 q
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
* I+ ]/ r/ Y7 \, u' v3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
" g& Z- m! u# |综上造成的下跌、 . W/ f! U; a2 u( ^/ j6 Z. V8 G
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 + {; r! O2 y, `- j# t
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 5 j& q8 ?4 y3 o, i# g
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
" t) A7 K2 }: w7 b. ^) c- H来决定行情是否好转。
+ V7 f5 e/ A" Y1 s" ^. L8 |( F至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 6 ^, y2 A( B& q3 j$ }
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
! i: X# h/ O& s0 V6 [; E短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 " A* X P5 \% a& ?
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
, H* {0 U' y1 U3 A; s, g1 E( f- {那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 # b$ r6 Q7 a# }( n v" h$ C
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
' l; `0 @2 G" @6 b) u t5 C日内大饼反弹、
9 B. P" S5 v( X. u( [/ [26150高空
1 P( l: U( g) B& C1 `% ]0 P26350补仓 : G4 O ^/ I% b! e% O3 x% r
26550防守
/ G3 Z3 a j( Z6 A# } ~- K目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 ! i! K5 |# h. u; u7 P: z/ u& g
以太反弹 ( ^3 s" S) r5 |
1380高空
$ L* ^* z7 h3 e6 m8 p- S1400补仓 " @, F7 ]9 Y$ V$ \, @. ~; E
1420防守
& Y0 P% T7 \9 O/ q目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 5 z4 W \4 @; g9 m
附言、
; L5 \+ y2 U) r) x" q! ~许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 3 i) O t$ F5 F: x
是正常现象， ! a" C( w2 B3 p3 t7 H
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
( v v8 M* q4 u. b" J) B u对于市场、依旧未来可期。
& c" h; Z& d- E: v6 o- U大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 ' a. H3 R2 ^. t, q% W/ i9 `
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
4 I6 ]) z* ^- q/ C5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
# N4 u# T, {2 d4 \7 O6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
8 O& I/ @2 q! q$ j相信七月公布时，会较理想。 ' {( N( f8 u8 {: ~
但现阶段，要承受的住。 ! p; P5 X) f9 w- l% Q4 r. v! Z
最后再强调、现货勿割。
! u: I- G0 K R: [25000的大饼 1300的以太、 ! f+ K7 g( Q' D+ T
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
" h$ {' R$ ~+ a. o# U7 t. m# L% @稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 & @$ W+ o6 ~3 _; h3 Z
这个市场，
" }1 [6 z1 b# C消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
D* n$ b) p" ^$ V1 Q$ q最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 0 H4 {9 @, z& q) U9 ?. s T
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 % P, j9 H5 \! m
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
# ?4 _2 A `) U7 i+ `; g, W$ d. R8 X# e来源：金色财经 |
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