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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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" N5 v! z$ A* ?有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。' R% a7 y2 E& ?$ i+ g; o, l: @. x
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。& w: E& ~* M( |9 D
6 I& W; ~0 P# z$ K4 E8 e( d为什么？ X$ X9 |( z$ S3 V- p
- r3 Z5 L1 o' ^1 q5 Y1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
, E4 G% e' {! n/ `( Y2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
; Z: z: s% K+ g 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
- p$ d7 H. a2 E6 i& ? 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4 w/ n+ ?0 @; n5 l7 f
第一把输，你没有了。
/ v8 Z" D$ y" W$ m! Q! Z" u 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
/ d) _' `$ F2 `, F% I 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
# ^/ n* G( i: X …………无限下去。
; g, D' k" w, I, s) M5 A& [清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……' J: L! ]" f$ d
/ K. x. N- e" C& G是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
7 P# B! y) {' U4 S) w
7 B, R, q5 K2 H- @" p这就是总是输的原因。。
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3 P- S& g: {$ z+ P: [/ ~! i( w3 s为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
- o: p+ D5 `% P0 _8 ^% ]) ], _
1、我觉得可以打偏差。& W7 I, N" A! \% z5 I2 u
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。4 Q# P, R6 o6 O; [. n" s6 w4 R1 b5 I
/ E3 S: S3 P+ ^9 N% l4 ?但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。+ A6 j- D; {3 h) Q0 Y5 R
% ~2 @4 g r( z人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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