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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2757385 以太坊今天也还是微跌一点的啦 1755341539 jackcool1011
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 0 c5 v( \# o) m2 |3 }! x
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5. 废话的不对称原则
+ {; ^$ Q! [$ Y反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
& M2 Q) X4 ], P( Q
- Y( I) y3 j# |, K/ v回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。/ R: ] V: h' l: W. V
) }+ o+ `, Z' Y1 c/ E2 S: A写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。$ v3 Z. {" y% E. V& V
$ \6 r: e) `1 h0 ]9 m每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。. ?- K9 Y5 V9 K5 c
: C. X( C- |1 m5 y/ U而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
: b6 _& C9 D5 t6 w$ y. j
( P8 J* t/ w" c! U6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)4 L$ @3 S3 Y& h( I
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
! |9 l" D% K" R: A/ v% r7 g+ S8 g, l7 B% x' l) `. X. _
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。 V6 z) b/ ^9 |+ v$ W+ s/ H8 _% O
l9 I( u3 n! w2 H5 ]% u' K, y
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。, j: N: _4 m m
" \& N6 u' n9 p# \) @想象一下罕见事件:( b& d7 P% L$ m1 V9 [/ e, {, D/ r& ^2 t
% R6 Y2 W! e( N" \3 h
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒" v* r* B/ D7 i0 h8 Q
# I, t/ E' b. q2 W% v• 核打击
1 t+ M! l: D7 s& H5 y3 L7 I& q4 z5 `- ?; f
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!3 A, L3 d7 _. R, `
7 w# d* j- Q; Z+ F& S% |1 r5 S7.二八定律
1 P- Y3 a! A, o' L0 q8 D在币圈:9 p% }- U' n1 a. D" F
" A$ c9 Q: l7 t5 H0 f, n% M80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。; b# l# ^9 A5 ~+ g7 j* k" F
% X( c7 _) Z k* H& h
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
4 a1 s! z3 d5 W/ K3 }; t) y* \* [& L
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
0 Q1 q4 i% \3 y+ H& r8 x
; G! V! m3 ~ i1 |8.网络效应
. L/ \- a( U- R8 M. p6 r( S产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。1 V$ g2 P/ j. r. J* K0 ^# w
' u3 I+ L! H, i
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?' q: T! b- V5 B O8 P
5 h P T. Y+ ~* {5 ~7 _+ b! L$ T& W一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。5 {8 D) \% o4 Y
3 d2 n1 M% F! e- u投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。) P! R+ ?9 q0 m. m) \
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