×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 28157
[posts] => 457113
[todayposts] => 17
[yesterdayposts] => 938
[rank] => 1
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2768025 加密货币已不再是单纯的炒币...现在可用币买房买车交学费,连“冷冻身体”都行... 1758903906 天策-瑶娥
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5019 小时
本月在线: 31 小时
|
|
1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
: f- Y; H5 x7 l
7 p& v; W9 }, t$ v% J9 t, Z过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。* S8 j* a9 Q- `/ Q. W2 x5 S1 R
7 S) S" z9 g& h+ n w/ D! CPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
+ H5 M/ T; G- x n2 V
- O/ i& J5 f% }5 VCPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。
: N1 k+ r# }6 ^' v" e4 m- S& q7 e9 n) r# A% ^3 K; Q$ J
2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期
3 z* t7 D; m* [, {
4 u4 J* `- ~* T! o5 e( @当前持仓成本:
5 B7 N: y- _2 O
. p: v0 V/ \% q机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
. C' X. n1 z8 G3 A) e: O- ^ {# X: P2 R; s
微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;% W; X: R4 J( X+ I2 J& x5 b
% H$ X2 x1 z" {1 _) p1 @
ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。9 [3 W" D! {8 w$ W% ]
4 g, v1 M- N/ }5 L* O" [比特币价值回归:
0 E' _& }3 E# j* [% ?5 _; @' |" f) N i) K8 q
市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。
# F$ B6 W7 a1 a, L8 C
6 H ]& ?1 L1 e' |* e9 b! ~随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。
1 }! Z. H: s* `# i3 ~
' q2 |2 S0 h1 Z加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。
: y% B/ T6 `5 @1 f
+ Y: g6 n! ~; y3. 市场热点与反弹情况7 H* M- q$ v) }5 k
% t' h0 v* B+ U" z2 j! _0 O
ETH:2 Q. p6 C2 J; a, }
, T1 ]9 T( M# Q& P2 I$ k虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
; J& q6 r0 {; j* A: f# t
- I P0 u# h7 @' s) K机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。! y! b8 h% E) g" Y! Z4 Z
" s E l* O q2 l2 u* A8 nBTC:
, l) |* [8 w! ~, v
. H2 {: o% T# i; l+ W) ]尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。
0 F* j* M; p% h+ f% f
3 k/ S8 M9 h# N9 _如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。) j3 t: C! p+ c
& ?6 W: h% c$ Q9 ?+ SSOL与XRP:
6 L9 X: V/ t+ e6 y% }* r+ C, C7 @, t5 U9 a7 B0 O* {. w( b
SOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。) z0 o8 x6 g6 {7 }0 h) z* R& P
/ L) S8 a# B' T; |! N6 U
XRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。' P) O! l+ Y- e
( L0 v5 [' j; z$ j其他热点项目:
l: Q; {$ C% M- I; m
$ D \4 S! f. d }; u, S, ]涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。
( t" o; x, L# ]+ P$ _
7 J, Y# Z) a3 t7 p' }山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。
$ A8 e5 V; T9 G! ?' n7 R3 ~4 s( ]4 ^/ v5 z" h, D. o! V
4. AI赛道与新兴项目) }4 T, k4 Y) P% v1 ]6 p
; u8 N7 b3 o6 ], tAI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。! A5 E- T; V: q9 G+ `
! Y+ ]+ `' z) z, b" y/ a7 K8 s2 a
蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
9 K% q N; s0 ^4 Y* V& l+ W, g4 }
: E$ `, Q0 C" s4 b新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。% T( M& J- R' U1 }1 }) `- j
2 n' a- L( t. Q! }) q, I市场展望! k+ l0 B4 T; D- P7 o; S
% P0 M% Y2 j) W% ]; z
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。% b5 y3 e5 Z5 R
+ J+ P' C1 V, c- {% i |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 13387 小时
本月在线: 85 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8977 小时
本月在线: 6 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 19291 小时
本月在线: 94 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 10253 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2894 小时
本月在线: 36 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3949 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|