×
Array
(
[fid] => 6929
[description] =>
[password] =>
[icon] => e0/common_6929_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[966] => 每周话题
[968] => 每周要闻
)
[icons] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92
[postperm] => 38 58 66 74 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 每周热闻
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 4
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 266
[posts] => 19737
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 15
[oldrank] => 18
[lastpost] => 2404687 ❤天策每周热闻❤2021年8月22日—8月28日（8月第4期） 1630374797 hiu
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 1
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
|
|
抢楼
|
本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 760 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 760 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
8 A& ]% y6 @8 d H; M8 ]) Y9 q有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1824 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
" F1 v1 J p4 w- N+ S# c, M, V6 W, V( O9 l+ k v4 ~+ `$ X5 }
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。% C, Y! O" O; p, [$ u% r' K
; e5 ~6 X/ k$ u% ^* K
为什么？
. E$ ^8 J" Z0 T, o. b5 B5 e5 H/ V6 t( ^# p7 e
1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
$ n2 t( T, F) R) b0 `4 F$ A2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。; Y/ ?2 i/ v+ [3 y5 V7 w+ V
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
8 p0 ]( U4 }" i% M 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/47 {0 S" D( T% P2 U4 f' N
第一把输，你没有了。5 c- T( d4 a; F6 d% t7 ~
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。+ x1 S1 X8 d2 B& q, a, Y) B2 ^ m9 N
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。* Q$ T! q _8 N# W- z- C
…………无限下去。- T& r! g( B5 Q) N
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32…… s! l: |4 Q4 |/ w1 Q1 ]
& q( x: `5 u0 P# P. e- [) w- c
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。' ^$ i% O3 |8 y% A J
; E& k4 T) S! V. s3 C& v这就是总是输的原因。。
: i5 z x) k: ^0 O4 Q1 o( T
6 i \7 ?( X. b; y6 y为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？2 u& G# Q4 Q; i" w
/ n* x% O) Z) n! q$ H) e! T- o
1、我觉得可以打偏差。
) @: V4 {2 ~* M3 D A2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。6 X- g$ K3 |( @& V, C, r
1 C4 U* ?/ n) y! b' K
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
2 [) l O3 z: r' y. T2 J$ D/ [- a0 [: n u1 K0 Y4 ~' b
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 487 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5818 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
|
5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12601 小时
本月在线: 3 小时
|
|
|
菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
[复制链接]
