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[lastpost] => 2659016 顶级交易员发布比特币警告，预测比特币在长期疲软和整合中崩溃（转） 1719133948 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
渣打看涨比特币：年底将冲至15万美元 特朗普胜利是积极因素（转）
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渣打银行对于比特币的态度有了180度的转弯。此前还在警告比特币价格; R- ^* j' u$ l/ e$ Y4 i; e
* R- l6 o5 c1 |, b4 _& s( \( ?0 p% G
可能跌至5万美元区间，但最新报告却以市场情绪改善为由，修改了其预测，- A4 H1 w% t( @% ~/ q/ ^
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预计年底可达15万美元。4 O% P% c, t) P: [; D1 v) `6 @6 d
渣打银行外汇研究和数字资产研究主管Geoff Kendrick认为，若特朗普在11月的美* u7 [3 _3 E/ c* \4 Q: N
& z$ F& F! Z1 \3 @& ^
国总统大选中获胜，那对比特币而言是积极的，特朗普的第二个任期将为加密货币
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2 v R5 K/ V0 H2 e3 [7 g) M4 J创造一个有利的监管环境。
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; {2 C- z5 S) q9 J( S- g1 V特朗普最初在担任总统期间是反对加密货币的。然而，自卸任以来，他已经推出了( l9 t7 q: n' q$ F* B; L8 u3 S
4 A: e) l5 {) P+ i+ r( L- A
几个代币（NFT）。而上个月，他承认了比特币正广受欢迎，将比特币描述为“一种$ S5 e2 z, q( {: g
; K% y0 J+ o# a
额外的货币形式”，并指出这种加密货币已经获得了认可。
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5 e) p0 S, Q/ a年底目标15万美元2 U( e4 \' m3 n( L U
' f- {; `6 h6 O* S* k, ?3 c j其实本月早些时候，Geoff Kendrick领导的渣打银行分析团队还警告称， [近期比特币
4 b% ` L0 H' M4 m) M: D& m( a+ g* f3 `! V2 }
的价格可能会进一步跌至5万美元]https://www.cls.cn/detail/1666381) ，原因是加密! @2 ?/ {' H/ y/ j' l0 J. v! J
+ g, P# A! |& w2 m+ M3 p
货币的特定因素和更广泛的宏观经济影响。
9 {& [# Z# W' p) R; O+ Q2 W5 B/ s# i" h0 V# X- `
不过，Kendrick在美联储上周三的表态不及预期那般鹰派、且上周五美国强劲就业报告0 {& y7 `. j; G- n$ p6 r9 d
% q7 a1 D% w( O公布后，修正了自己的预估。1 L8 q6 e% s9 g/ t. N# ~; d' Q- C
% }* q" Y' O( x. S9 q3 A1 U' U: TKendrick在最新报告中写道，比特币将从近期低点56500美元反弹，比特币年底的目标为- x1 @9 c( L7 R' e5 T4 D4 B
* p7 U+ O$ l% }0 l15万美元，2025年底为20万美元。
* W4 l5 f7 N$ @. u4 A3 p. _/ u( m2 f7 W. Z( `
除了特朗普可能当选带来的积极因素外，Kendrick还强调了对美国ZF债务和赤字可持续
. y/ o1 {1 L4 Z0 a$ g" P
+ X: y0 b! u, R& U2 [# K, q" p9 n性的担忧，他称，“美国ZF的债务和赤字似乎正走在一条不可持续的道路上。”
* `# Y, f8 h' B# @5 n
1 h1 x+ c% L- l这可能会导致美国国债收益率曲线变得更陡峭，期限溢价上升。“我们认为，随着投资者寻
9 r0 ?; a- g, E+ g" V1 p3 V) y! M
+ R; v; ?7 n, t: u5 r1 {, M. \0 _求另类资产，这种情况将更广泛地支持数字资产。”
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