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[lastpost] => 2771854 如果Base有空投，你要怎么撸？（转） 1759853343 caoch
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币跌破2.9万后回升！联准会官员：就业增长放缓 无需加息抗 膨（转载）
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美国劳工部昨(4)晚公布最新的非农就业数据结果爆冷，7月份的非农就业人数增加. K, G8 G3 t# x+ `8 c5 H1 G( L, K @
187,000人，低于预期的20万人，创下2020年12月以来最低记录。2 ^. L0 V. H. m5 v' i9 A
市场认为本月的非农就业突显了经济降温的迹象，并预计将缓解联准会在下次会议上升息的压力。4 B: k5 u5 Y: `4 k
不过另一方面，失业率数据从6月份的3.6%降至7月份的3.5%，仍接近半个世纪以来的最低水平；且另外一个对抗6 A- Z/ J* p3 `1 I; n- j
通膨的关键指标，7月份平均时薪仍持续强劲成长，年增4.4%，高于市场预测的4.2%。# y2 G% s% u* T0 M) D. o" k( V
华尔街日报援引Glassdoor首席经济学家Daniel Zhao评论表示：就业市场仍处于缓慢但稳定的软着陆轨道上(通8 a; }- I4 v% l! x4 R, ?4 ?
膨率回到联准会2%的目标)，而没有出现经济衰退和严重失业的结果。
, \- N( [# E' R- v1 M% i联准会官员：就业增长放缓，不再需升息来对抗通膨& N* D" x. Q" I8 x
在周五的非农就业报告公布后，芝商所的FedWatch数据显示，市场预测联准会在下次利率会议上维持在现行利率9 M+ l: G2 ^6 ?: g6 t( X
区间5.25%~5.50%的机率高达87%，认为将再升息一码的机率则为13%。4 A5 @: P, c3 }
显示就业增长放缓的数据出来后，据财富周五报导，亚特兰大联邦准备银行行长Raphael Bostic公开表明他认为
3 ~5 ]" A/ W) o# Y! Y5 y没有必要进一步加息，我预计经济将以相当有序的方式放缓，而7月份的非农就业数据-18.7万人的增幅-将继续这& G) R: n3 P6 T3 n- Z) v ]$ Y+ o# o
一步伐，我预计这种情况不会在短时间内结束。- W( o1 A5 e* H# {3 x9 k, L6 R1 A
Bostic重申联准会正走在回到2%通膨目标的轨道上，并且可以通过长期将利率维持在当前水平来实现这一目标。
. m8 E4 C' ^3 i" \2 Y“我们今天处于限制性立场，随着通膨持续下降，限制性程度实际上随着通膨率与利率之间差距的扩大而增加。8 B, v; D( J( [' k* i/ l! H
所以我认为这将对经济施加足够的限制，使其继续放缓…我预计直到2024年，我们仍将处于限制性立场。”
2 j4 m% V- Z5 @" R; r6 I美股开高走低( k+ h- E. \1 N* a5 D8 }' s3 t
昨日非农就业报告公布数据公布后，美股三大指数开高走低，一大影响是受苹果财报不佳，股价收盘大跌4.8%波
3 t9 \" j! F0 \8 K1 }. I# [及。
9 T- G2 |1 i! V+ i! C. j美股周五(4日)美股四大指数表现：
. @, w& ~# i# Q. N2 R1 ]) E美股道琼指数下跌150.27点，或0.43%，收35,065.62点。
4 o, Q: |( V( S% w5 o纳斯达克指数下跌50.48点，或0.36%，收13,909.24点。
& W1 ]- q- g U' x/ g* l) m标普500指数下跌23.86点，或0.53%，收4,478.03点。
- [, N1 {- H. V" r3 P费城半导体指数下跌8.87点，或0.24%，收3,699.20点。
( f% U8 F' `; D: B! f$ {比特币跌破2.9万大关
9 w |0 g( Y; A3 R$ O8 |3 ?; _而比特币方面，今日清晨则一度失守29,000美元大关，深夜跌超1.6%最低来到28,807美元，但截稿前已站回
* D# |- z( @# u! @' K$ e2 Z29,084美元，近24小时下跌0.4%。
) c/ L5 J" n7 j5 t8 Z. L. D1 \
0 E& J: t& X/ k1 g% e# z4 m& }% D0 ]0 k# |: J& t( h
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