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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
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[lastpost] => 2770856 比特币价格预测:摩根大通预测未来比特币将上涨 40%(转) 1759427428 jackcool1011
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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5. 废话的不对称原则
/ {5 F; d1 v9 j% b( f% Q0 E) _, ^ v反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。8 }6 w- l) ^3 ^1 C( j, i5 ^
( v! u& q, t% {' l5 M# D7 I' e; Q回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
: o% W2 v- k1 k( b3 c
4 Q" r' o2 i q( B/ c J" K写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。4 u8 o7 N) z- Q5 \
' }% k c' w# _) i/ k, j4 k每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
. E2 h7 K. @5 ]( b( }
/ a0 Y" _, w' G& @; S而对抗它们需要太多的精力。 H( B5 c9 U2 [! R# u: d6 X
: k. x, { m& }1 |
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
! x" W( |8 v& Q4 I8 r& B被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
' K( Q. y, U5 l6 C; M, @6 H& o9 K& E: A* q$ \) V) X8 v
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
8 p/ Z/ A3 N- J. A( ~. s7 A" |, [, X0 E* B
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。( V; r5 y7 F7 U6 r
* k: h' P& p% `& ?6 F; z' Y+ [
想象一下罕见事件:1 v; _5 q1 p0 e
0 T' h$ Z1 g; h0 n% v: w0 ^8 V• 中本聪的钱包苏醒5 y# j; K& Q6 q* }
" E# b% C' }5 z M. m• 核打击
9 }4 R" j7 {& w4 X
, Y: h# z- ^: ]/ U7 k% ?我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
6 C: q2 i$ {5 X# x% B2 E2 p! ~, I5 z) z
7.二八定律
7 \' R# q$ g7 u2 g在币圈:+ T, c2 g2 }7 ~0 m7 G, D+ }# n" D
( m% u! X0 c+ @/ H80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。* _! ?$ x* O z& h& F
& h7 z" S" A# |8 v) M) h4 q5 ]80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
5 x- t. A+ Q6 _0 b- A" f: s0 q& Z* B: F' r" C" ?
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。) l! i" |7 q: b5 p# ]( e+ b( h) ~
8 ?4 t( P& E: F) G& v8.网络效应
5 g% f0 L* p2 s$ d6 m产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
/ ]' Z# m8 ~! E( j, Z3 m: Z* {% o+ ~ f1 d! @; E4 J, R& f
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?# K6 Y1 `2 Z1 `, e- E8 ?1 m/ l2 ?; G
- X% G. F! ^! i" T6 H一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。$ n7 W! v1 _+ G! P+ f: U
8 T$ s7 @2 Y. l7 \/ Z8 _9 y- S5 m8 {
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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