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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位
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(1)对下游球队的战绩。
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6 V7 |# l! m/ m2 Y9 U) U2 A(2)对中游球队的战绩。
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$ {; z, m3 `. @9 d$ f(3)对上游球队的战绩。0 N1 H- v0 H- R8 j% p
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(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录
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8 h9 h$ }: X( r# ]2 N+ i一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。0 O' ~: ]2 U$ L

0 q2 G+ n1 T, b' i' s2、对比主客场胜率7 b# O5 r$ x4 S/ N

/ h. F5 M. p4 X(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高
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0 [! v# ?9 Q$ r! T, N3 b" x! P(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高" `- u; R* N' X9 p: [; p; q( h6 m
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3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照
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" h9 e6 G2 a+ i% L1 o8 B% u(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。: {) c* ]5 V2 z1 V

/ K, z; N) T/ a- W2 J8 x5 Z(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)
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(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大 9 g9 I/ s7 j# g2 q$ O- Q3 |( B
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(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大$ m% t9 U% `$ Q* P
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4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。 1 H$ I, }. }/ C4 |% N8 l
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(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易( a# }) Y/ U' N+ x, w
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成为热点。6 s2 o0 Y6 Q, X$ O
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(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。2 R6 g4 B3 H  b$ Y
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(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。* p3 p8 b9 S* N- J; R& k$ Y
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(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。
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(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。4 I8 o* Y# Y% @" l% j) N0 c/ r
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5、确定受热方向7 {% ?* C4 J: G/ q* m
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根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:
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(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金' j2 [5 l- p4 b4 i. o1 \
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流入。 ( H2 M* j4 s5 k/ O

) M! o$ S3 _, M7 k& D- M(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。( s, N7 G% x0 @  x0 C
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(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做0 _/ H5 P. b- Z. ^5 |

+ N1 p! H" s2 z7 i# K冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。( W4 p) V; f* i
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(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上
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# L8 K# B6 d8 W; R9 j盘出。
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(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。1 ~+ F  E0 ]2 V- R6 p# j! y4 M

$ l( E2 q( l. F& ?! x(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。
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盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。# n+ I6 W6 f) v* i9 ?2 r3 S7 H: }
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盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。
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. [8 U- A; C5 r/ e9 {+ g; y(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。7 O# g/ Y- g( o# S# {' `* p
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6、最后检验阶段
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以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:
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(1)检查高峰期水位。4 y7 X0 F' b2 ^0 w
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(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。: W3 c% U6 b- J' @

( D! O' V/ J* x/ m% |(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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