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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份- U a- I9 q! D( s/ N8 z
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。5 z3 I+ N0 T. `6 `& M
美元抛售推高比特币- Q7 p5 v" V" G
: A1 _4 _# \& N2 I. XGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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- }! Z* I9 \5 Y6 c来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”, y2 Q5 k# M9 C, k
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。9 y) }( I A0 z" H2 S8 S+ I. F
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推! W; G, s& d3 r, ? X3 F
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高黄金和比特币的价格。) ~( X* p7 s) m6 j' ~
( s( _1 p! z/ ?( Y下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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! I- ?; B6 I ^% ~0 _5 a: {# d这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破+ M, C6 A2 x) ^& O! M0 @+ X
) J$ a. u" L6 T# x% y5 d6 I了8.7万美元。
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0 i% c( d# |# e% `3 |9 z然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”( M7 v9 H/ W* S/ o% ?- \+ C# R/ ?
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, ^/ S8 v5 ?) H- W1 v) S6 j分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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1 P, u6 T8 a: p2 l“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”; r+ x2 e1 p. L8 p
8 i, p; F) t& q; @CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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