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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币:投资者的下一步是什么?(转)
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
* g0 s9 `% h2 o6 @5 w0 ~% j% \自推出以来,价格下降了89%,4月18日之前的前景不确定7 T% X2 q& D6 K: M9 h
在Memecoin历史上,倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日,特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通,目前价值约3.3亿美元。
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总供应量的20%,主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表,这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。; h8 X8 u/ O' v& x( l7 s
2 O* u# Z. _4 b) L p& j内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号
: {0 |( O" o; V2 [, t V1 P目前只有20%的特朗普总供应量流传,即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20%,这是一方面。9 z# s! V* h1 c, @2 y# y
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这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日,有投资者处于边缘状态,尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
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8 k1 k6 m+ [, ^1 E从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰,市场情绪仍然脆弱。
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每日发行49.3万代币,相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力,加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱,则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。8 g, ?8 A2 Z' O
- T0 Z6 |+ `! L5 j特朗普价格前景
1 H7 }; k' i# Y0 Q1 d* c, b特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势,在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。& {& L% ]5 k1 D7 |
/ p* l- Q/ ]. X这标志着自推出以来的89%下降了89%。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱,信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。- k& Y% b7 y6 N7 `
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同时,MACD刚刚进入积极的领域,但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升,但价格行动仍在近期低点附近,表明市场犹豫。6 Y: @' G5 D3 o; ^
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交易量也显得很薄,表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变,任何集会都可能是短暂的,尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。7 u- p- p' c h$ k; C( X
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过去解锁了一个警示性的故事
* }& O& }3 F- `9 w3 d8 R与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名,尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。" n9 m0 m" |1 x; B7 a
3 ], n! q# _0 ~
从历史上看,大规模的发行版,例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版,已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求,导致价格下降。
- e0 N6 `) F0 e9 Z, Q$ J; K% ~- }4 c5 }) q: f5 k* P D% j2 y& q e2 `
在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中,影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势,使无关后的抛售可能。: d6 U, g' B- l
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