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BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复,徒步旅行2.81%。- }, t0 {# r3 y% }
比特币的杠杆比率下降,因为投机需求降温,而现货需求上升。
" M& U) b8 Q# d% U. W在过去的一周中,比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上,截至撰写本文时,比特币在上升0.22%后的交易价格为07.052美元。; f0 R7 p5 y1 x: {7 a3 D
5 Y0 O7 I" ^! T2 h: n
此外,BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81%和2.89%。+ C1 ?8 X& ?8 H" l0 U6 [
5 O! ^, I( \( V* U- e6 [. Q9 A最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch,加密分析师Dan提出,BTC的杠杆比率降低,BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。& ?3 w9 I2 D+ U. B- k8 N2 p
6 S$ Z3 J* d' H9 G/ q9 v" p; x
比特币的杠杆率降低
7 _1 o1 }9 S9 D根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来,比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明,相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC,开放利息(OI)正在下降。
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6 s. \$ p& p: d' R: Q! T从历史上看,较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险,从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。3 j% s# [$ \3 h2 a7 o
- L% k% f, o/ h' v) r同样,相对于价格,OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明,价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。1 {& H2 X$ \5 o
3 Q8 I' G0 J) [: D
卖出比率也证明了这一趋势,这意味着随着市场的降温,较长的头寸即将结束。5 z3 {7 g; t' @
8 d% G$ H2 k+ |3 ~( X( e值得注意的是,至关重要的是,CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间,BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时,这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明,大型参与者,尤其是机构正在积累。$ V! a5 z( K3 t" C
& b7 P3 S3 { ^8 E1 j( ?+ y当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时,这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的,使未来的集会更加可持续。
+ J$ T/ }/ t6 B
1 e7 s- H& ^% t这对BTC意味着什么
o6 [! ?0 [9 i1 ?" O4 V; O随着杠杆率较小,机构积极积累的杠杆率较小,这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。
; | _2 S+ {6 }% y0 d1 x1 f" S/ d
8 p% f4 D! u6 P* [+ Q2 u5 g& M1 j例如,比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪,而且还提高了机构的需求。1 J0 m. V. w1 A9 _0 b' i- n4 t
* ~; }7 ^1 V, T3 e1 T, Y
从历史上看,机构的需求更高,在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。
/ S" Y1 l+ g1 |0 V# R% m- f7 U' X; D& {6 m
此外,比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时,这意味着投资者是看好的,渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。
9 K: v$ p" B t% E; ` t$ D5 t; N& e, O8 C6 F
这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。7 y( x. @4 m& g8 H$ j
1 o' g; t; o: e" F1 }" ^2 ?0 \
最后,市场参与者越来越积累,流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k,随着投资者继续积累,反映了更多的交换提款。
; I# I, D- i- ]! M* r3 E: }
( p4 \2 ~/ y$ e9 H( Y; ?读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–2026
! s8 G5 S# y& q2 L4 G1 t8 s: ]' r$ {5 N9 O
简而言之,随着零售和大型持有人的积累,比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明,BTC市场已经冷却,将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。5 u0 f: G6 t' W7 Q3 o
7 w# q) w6 @0 R9 v4 d7 r8 Z如果这种情绪成立,BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127,然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后,这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
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